% Key papers for Robust forecasting and evaluation (scime atlas, https://atlas.scime.ai). Authors are not included: add them from the paper pages. @inproceedings{icml2018_accurate_36492, title = {{Accurate Uncertainties for Deep Learning Using Calibrated Regression}}, booktitle = {International Conference on Machine Learning (ICML)}, year = {2018}, url = {https://icml.cc/virtual/2018/poster/2486}, } @inproceedings{neurips2016_temporal_56033, title = {{Temporal Regularized Matrix Factorization for High-dimensional Time Series Prediction}}, booktitle = {Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems (NeurIPS)}, year = {2016}, url = {https://nips.cc/virtual/2016/poster/6916}, } @inproceedings{aaai2019_robuststl_101765, title = {{RobustSTL: A Robust Seasonal-Trend Decomposition Algorithm for Long Time Series}}, booktitle = {AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence (AAAI)}, year = {2019}, url = {https://ojs.aaai.org/index.php/AAAI/article/view/4480}, } @inproceedings{aaai2016_data_105065, title = {{Data Poisoning Attacks against Autoregressive Models}}, booktitle = {AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence (AAAI)}, year = {2016}, url = {https://ojs.aaai.org/index.php/AAAI/article/view/10237}, } @inproceedings{aaai2020_riskoracle_100307, title = {{RiskOracle: A Minute-Level Citywide Traffic Accident Forecasting Framework}}, booktitle = {AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence (AAAI)}, year = {2020}, url = {https://ojs.aaai.org/index.php/AAAI/article/view/5480}, } @inproceedings{aaai2022_reinforcement_2630, title = {{Reinforcement Learning Based Dynamic Model Combination for Time Series Forecasting}}, booktitle = {AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence (AAAI)}, year = {2022}, url = {https://aaai.org/papers/06639-reinforcement-learning-based-dynamic-model-combination-for-time-series-forecasting/}, } @inproceedings{neurips2020_interpretable_60099, title = {{Interpretable Sequence Learning for Covid-19 Forecasting}}, booktitle = {Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems (NeurIPS)}, year = {2020}, url = {https://nips.cc/virtual/2020/poster/19069}, } @inproceedings{neurips2021_revisiting_63257, title = {{Revisiting Time Series Outlier Detection: Definitions and Benchmarks}}, booktitle = {Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems (NeurIPS)}, year = {2021}, url = {https://openreview.net/forum?id=r8IvOsnHchr}, } @inproceedings{aaai2021_sub_1440, title = {{Sub-Seasonal Climate Forecasting via Machine Learning: Challenges, Analysis, and Advances}}, booktitle = {AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence (AAAI)}, year = {2021}, url = {https://aaai.org/papers/00169-sub-seasonal-climate-forecasting-via-machine-learning-challenges-analysis-and-advances/}, } @inproceedings{aaai2021_learning_893, title = {{Learning Representations for Incomplete Time Series Clustering}}, booktitle = {AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence (AAAI)}, year = {2021}, url = {https://aaai.org/papers/08837-learning-representations-for-incomplete-time-series-clustering/}, } @inproceedings{aaai2021_steering_1421, title = {{Steering a Historical Disease Forecasting Model Under a Pandemic: Case of Flu and COVID-19}}, booktitle = {AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence (AAAI)}, year = {2021}, url = {https://aaai.org/papers/04855-steering-a-historical-disease-forecasting-model-under-a-pandemic-case-of-flu-and-covid-19/}, } @inproceedings{neurips2020_what_61101, title = {{What went wrong and when? Instance-wise feature importance for time-series black-box models}}, booktitle = {Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems (NeurIPS)}, year = {2020}, url = {https://nips.cc/virtual/2020/poster/18759}, } @inproceedings{aaai2017_regularization_104589, title = {{Regularization in Hierarchical Time Series Forecasting with Application to Electricity Smart Meter Data}}, booktitle = {AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence (AAAI)}, year = {2017}, url = {https://ojs.aaai.org/index.php/AAAI/article/view/11167}, } @inproceedings{aaai2019_estimating_101600, title = {{Estimating the Days to Success of Campaigns in Crowdfunding: A Deep Survival Perspective}}, booktitle = {AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence (AAAI)}, year = {2019}, url = {https://ojs.aaai.org/index.php/AAAI/article/view/4295}, } @inproceedings{aaai2021_complete_276, title = {{Complete Closed Time Intervals-Related Patterns Mining}}, booktitle = {AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence (AAAI)}, year = {2021}, url = {https://aaai.org/papers/04098-complete-closed-time-intervals-related-patterns-mining/}, } @inproceedings{aaai2018_distant_102409, title = {{Distant-Supervision of Heterogeneous Multitask Learning for Social Event Forecasting With Multilingual Indicators}}, booktitle = {AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence (AAAI)}, year = {2018}, url = {https://ojs.aaai.org/index.php/AAAI/article/view/11676}, } @inproceedings{neurips2024_motion_70470, title = {{Motion Forecasting in Continuous Driving}}, booktitle = {Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems (NeurIPS)}, year = {2024}, url = {https://neurips.cc/virtual/2024/poster/96638}, } @inproceedings{neurips2021_adjusting_63354, title = {{Adjusting for Autocorrelated Errors in Neural Networks for Time Series}}, booktitle = {Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems (NeurIPS)}, year = {2021}, url = {https://nips.cc/virtual/2021/poster/26808}, } @inproceedings{icml2018_not_36882, title = {{Not to Cry Wolf: Distantly Supervised Multitask Learning in Critical Care}}, booktitle = {International Conference on Machine Learning (ICML)}, year = {2018}, url = {https://icml.cc/virtual/2018/poster/2119}, } @inproceedings{neurips2023_wildfirespreadts_68137, title = {{WildfireSpreadTS: A dataset of multi-modal time series for wildfire spread prediction}}, booktitle = {Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems (NeurIPS)}, year = {2023}, url = {https://nips.cc/virtual/2023/poster/73593}, } @inproceedings{aaai2024_citypulse_5402, title = {{CityPulse: Fine-Grained Assessment of Urban Change with Street View Time Series}}, booktitle = {AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence (AAAI)}, year = {2024}, url = {https://ojs.aaai.org/index.php/AAAI/article/view/30216}, } @inproceedings{aaai2025_cherry_8415, title = {{Cherry-Picking in Time Series Forecasting: How to Select Datasets to Make Your Model Shine}}, booktitle = {AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence (AAAI)}, year = {2025}, url = {https://ojs.aaai.org/index.php/AAAI/article/view/34224}, } @inproceedings{aaai2024_early_5788, title = {{Early Detection of Extreme Storm Tide Events Using Multimodal Data Processing}}, booktitle = {AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence (AAAI)}, year = {2024}, url = {https://ojs.aaai.org/index.php/AAAI/article/view/30194}, } @inproceedings{aaai2025_droughtset_8817, title = {{DroughtSet: Understanding Drought Through Spatial-Temporal Learning}}, booktitle = {AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence (AAAI)}, year = {2025}, url = {https://ojs.aaai.org/index.php/AAAI/article/view/35066}, } @inproceedings{neurips2024_scaling_71095, title = {{Scaling Law for Time Series Forecasting}}, booktitle = {Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems (NeurIPS)}, year = {2024}, url = {https://neurips.cc/virtual/2024/poster/96119}, } @inproceedings{aaai2024_cgs_5338, title = {{CGS-Mask: Making Time Series Predictions Intuitive for All}}, booktitle = {AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence (AAAI)}, year = {2024}, url = {https://ojs.aaai.org/index.php/AAAI/article/view/29325}, } @inproceedings{iclr2024_contrastive_33462, title = {{Contrastive Difference Predictive Coding}}, booktitle = {International Conference on Learning Representations (ICLR)}, year = {2024}, url = {https://iclr.cc/virtual/2024/poster/19613}, } @inproceedings{iclr2024_robusttsf_35159, title = {{RobustTSF: Towards Theory and Design of Robust Time Series Forecasting with Anomalies}}, booktitle = {International Conference on Learning Representations (ICLR)}, year = {2024}, url = {https://iclr.cc/virtual/2024/poster/17914}, } @inproceedings{icml2024_the_44357, title = {{The Merit of River Network Topology for Neural Flood Forecasting}}, booktitle = {International Conference on Machine Learning (ICML)}, year = {2024}, url = {https://icml.cc/virtual/2024/poster/34095}, } @inproceedings{icml2024_sibblings_45049, title = {{SiBBlInGS: Similarity-driven Building-Block Inference using Graphs across States}}, booktitle = {International Conference on Machine Learning (ICML)}, year = {2024}, url = {https://icml.cc/virtual/2024/poster/33403}, } @inproceedings{neurips2024_off_71466, title = {{Off to new Shores: A Dataset \& Benchmark for (near-)coastal Flood Inundation Forecasting}}, booktitle = {Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems (NeurIPS)}, year = {2024}, url = {https://neurips.cc/virtual/2024/poster/97766}, } @inproceedings{iclr2025_hr_80804, title = {{HR-Extreme: A High-Resolution Dataset for Extreme Weather Forecasting}}, booktitle = {International Conference on Learning Representations (ICLR)}, year = {2025}, url = {https://iclr.cc/virtual/2025/poster/30964}, } @inproceedings{iclr2026_tianquan_84831, title = {{TianQuan-S2S: A Subseasonal-to-Seasonal Global Weather Model via Incorporate Climatology State}}, booktitle = {International Conference on Learning Representations (ICLR)}, year = {2026}, url = {https://openreview.net/forum?id=7Dvmq7MhwU}, } @inproceedings{aaai2026_beyond_107479, title = {{Beyond MSE: Ordinal Cross-Entropy for Probabilistic Time Series Forecasting}}, booktitle = {AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence (AAAI)}, year = {2026}, url = {https://ojs.aaai.org/index.php/AAAI/article/view/39831}, } @inproceedings{aaai2025_gcf_9269, title = {{GCF: Estimating Unobserved Demand Using Graph Causal Forecasting}}, booktitle = {AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence (AAAI)}, year = {2025}, url = {https://ojs.aaai.org/index.php/AAAI/article/view/35148}, } @inproceedings{aaai2025_hubness_9462, title = {{Hubness Change Point Detection}}, booktitle = {AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence (AAAI)}, year = {2025}, url = {https://ojs.aaai.org/index.php/AAAI/article/view/33376}, } @inproceedings{icml2024_reservoir_43775, title = {{Reservoir Computing for Short High-Dimensional Time Series: an Application to SARS-CoV-2 Hospitalization Forecast}}, booktitle = {International Conference on Machine Learning (ICML)}, year = {2024}, url = {https://icml.cc/virtual/2024/poster/34677}, } @inproceedings{icml2024_an_44269, title = {{An Empirical Examination of Balancing Strategy for Counterfactual Estimation on Time Series}}, booktitle = {International Conference on Machine Learning (ICML)}, year = {2024}, url = {https://icml.cc/virtual/2024/poster/34183}, } @inproceedings{icml2025_capturing_48746, title = {{Capturing Temporal Dynamics in Large-Scale Canopy Tree Height Estimation}}, booktitle = {International Conference on Machine Learning (ICML)}, year = {2025}, url = {https://icml.cc/virtual/2025/poster/43876}, }