% Key papers for Single-model predictive uncertainty (scime atlas, https://atlas.scime.ai). Authors are not included: add them from the paper pages. @inproceedings{icml2016_dropout_35805, title = {{Dropout as a Bayesian Approximation: Representing Model Uncertainty in Deep Learning}}, booktitle = {International Conference on Machine Learning (ICML)}, year = {2016}, url = {https://proceedings.mlr.press/v48/gal16.html}, } @inproceedings{neurips2019_can_57975, title = {{Can you trust your model's uncertainty? Evaluating predictive uncertainty under dataset shift}}, booktitle = {Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems (NeurIPS)}, year = {2019}, url = {https://nips.cc/virtual/2019/poster/14325}, } @inproceedings{neurips2017_simple_56669, title = {{Simple and Scalable Predictive Uncertainty Estimation using Deep Ensembles}}, booktitle = {Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems (NeurIPS)}, year = {2017}, url = {https://nips.cc/virtual/2017/poster/9410}, } @inproceedings{neurips2018_evidential_57104, title = {{Evidential Deep Learning to Quantify Classification Uncertainty}}, booktitle = {Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems (NeurIPS)}, year = {2018}, url = {https://nips.cc/virtual/2018/poster/11322}, } @inproceedings{neurips2018_predictive_57527, title = {{Predictive Uncertainty Estimation via Prior Networks}}, booktitle = {Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems (NeurIPS)}, year = {2018}, url = {https://nips.cc/virtual/2018/poster/11679}, } @inproceedings{icml2020_uncertainty_38893, title = {{Uncertainty Estimation Using a Single Deep Deterministic Neural Network}}, booktitle = {International Conference on Machine Learning (ICML)}, year = {2020}, url = {https://icml.cc/virtual/2020/poster/6512}, } @inproceedings{icml2018_bayesian_36542, title = {{Bayesian Uncertainty Estimation for Batch Normalized Deep Networks}}, booktitle = {International Conference on Machine Learning (ICML)}, year = {2018}, url = {https://icml.cc/virtual/2018/poster/2039}, } @inproceedings{icml2018_decomposition_36615, title = {{Decomposition of Uncertainty in Bayesian Deep Learning for Efficient and Risk-sensitive Learning}}, booktitle = {International Conference on Machine Learning (ICML)}, year = {2018}, url = {https://icml.cc/virtual/2018/poster/2262}, } @inproceedings{icml2017_dropout_36164, title = {{Dropout Inference in Bayesian Neural Networks with Alpha-divergences}}, booktitle = {International Conference on Machine Learning (ICML)}, year = {2017}, url = {https://icml.cc/virtual/2017/poster/539}, } @inproceedings{neurips2020_simple_60829, title = {{Simple and Principled Uncertainty Estimation with Deterministic Deep Learning via Distance Awareness}}, booktitle = {Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems (NeurIPS)}, year = {2020}, url = {https://nips.cc/virtual/2020/poster/17741}, } @inproceedings{cvpr2021_masksembles_17391, title = {{Masksembles for Uncertainty Estimation}}, booktitle = {IEEE/CVF Conference on Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition (CVPR)}, year = {2021}, } @inproceedings{neurips2019_bayesian_57940, title = {{Bayesian Layers: A Module for Neural Network Uncertainty}}, booktitle = {Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems (NeurIPS)}, year = {2019}, url = {https://nips.cc/virtual/2019/poster/14379}, } @inproceedings{neurips2019_single_58985, title = {{Single-Model Uncertainties for Deep Learning}}, booktitle = {Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems (NeurIPS)}, year = {2019}, url = {https://nips.cc/virtual/2019/poster/13754}, } @inproceedings{neurips2020_posterior_60595, title = {{Posterior Network: Uncertainty Estimation without OOD Samples via Density-Based Pseudo-Counts}}, booktitle = {Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems (NeurIPS)}, year = {2020}, url = {https://nips.cc/virtual/2020/poster/18555}, } @inproceedings{aaai2020_uncertainty_102153, title = {{Uncertainty-Aware Deep Classifiers Using Generative Models}}, booktitle = {AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence (AAAI)}, year = {2020}, url = {https://ojs.aaai.org/index.php/AAAI/article/view/6015}, } @inproceedings{icml2020_sde_38719, title = {{SDE-Net: Equipping Deep Neural Networks with Uncertainty Estimates}}, booktitle = {International Conference on Machine Learning (ICML)}, year = {2020}, url = {https://icml.cc/virtual/2020/poster/6065}, } @inproceedings{iclr2022_on_31444, title = {{On the Pitfalls of Heteroscedastic Uncertainty Estimation with Probabilistic Neural Networks}}, booktitle = {International Conference on Learning Representations (ICLR)}, year = {2022}, url = {https://iclr.cc/virtual/2022/poster/6755}, } @inproceedings{iclr2019_bias_29039, title = {{Bias-Reduced Uncertainty Estimation for Deep Neural Classifiers}}, booktitle = {International Conference on Learning Representations (ICLR)}, year = {2019}, url = {https://iclr.cc/virtual/2019/poster/963}, } @inproceedings{neurips2020_improving_60072, title = {{Improving model calibration with accuracy versus uncertainty optimization}}, booktitle = {Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems (NeurIPS)}, year = {2020}, url = {https://nips.cc/virtual/2020/poster/16799}, } @inproceedings{neurips2021_uncertainty_63491, title = {{Uncertainty Quantification and Deep Ensembles}}, booktitle = {Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems (NeurIPS)}, year = {2021}, url = {https://nips.cc/virtual/2021/poster/27586}, } @inproceedings{aaai2024_deep_5634, title = {{Deep Active Learning with Noise Stability}}, booktitle = {AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence (AAAI)}, year = {2024}, url = {https://ojs.aaai.org/index.php/AAAI/article/view/29270}, } @inproceedings{cvpr2024_make_24098, title = {{Make Me a BNN: A Simple Strategy for Estimating Bayesian Uncertainty from Pre-trained Models}}, booktitle = {IEEE/CVF Conference on Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition (CVPR)}, year = {2024}, url = {https://cvpr.thecvf.com/virtual/2024/poster/30948}, } @inproceedings{aaai2024_discretization_5709, title = {{Discretization-Induced Dirichlet Posterior for Robust Uncertainty Quantification on Regression}}, booktitle = {AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence (AAAI)}, year = {2024}, url = {https://ojs.aaai.org/index.php/AAAI/article/view/28508}, } @inproceedings{cvpr2025_uncertainty_27987, title = {{Uncertainty Weighted Gradients for Model Calibration}}, booktitle = {IEEE/CVF Conference on Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition (CVPR)}, year = {2025}, url = {https://cvpr.thecvf.com/virtual/2025/poster/32877}, } @inproceedings{aaai2025_general_9312, title = {{General Uncertainty Estimation with Delta Variances}}, booktitle = {AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence (AAAI)}, year = {2025}, url = {https://ojs.aaai.org/index.php/AAAI/article/view/34238}, } @inproceedings{neurips2025_knowledge_76219, title = {{Knowledge Distillation of Uncertainty using Deep Latent Factor Model}}, booktitle = {Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems (NeurIPS)}, year = {2025}, url = {https://openreview.net/forum?id=Grpqzwpwv8}, } @inproceedings{neurips2025_torch_79367, title = {{Torch-Uncertainty: Deep Learning Uncertainty Quantification}}, booktitle = {Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems (NeurIPS)}, year = {2025}, url = {https://openreview.net/forum?id=oYfRRQr9uK}, } @inproceedings{icml2024_measuring_44070, title = {{Measuring Stochastic Data Complexity with Boltzmann Influence Functions}}, booktitle = {International Conference on Machine Learning (ICML)}, year = {2024}, url = {https://icml.cc/virtual/2024/poster/34382}, } @inproceedings{icml2025_fully_46270, title = {{Fully Heteroscedastic Count Regression with Deep Double Poisson Networks}}, booktitle = {International Conference on Machine Learning (ICML)}, year = {2025}, url = {https://icml.cc/virtual/2025/poster/46290}, } @inproceedings{icml2026_possibilistic_51565, title = {{Possibilistic Predictive Uncertainty for Deep Learning}}, booktitle = {International Conference on Machine Learning (ICML)}, year = {2026}, url = {https://openreview.net/forum?id=NhL0mBNFk4}, } @inproceedings{neurips2025_quantifying_74684, title = {{Quantifying Uncertainty in the Presence of Distribution Shifts}}, booktitle = {Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems (NeurIPS)}, year = {2025}, url = {https://openreview.net/forum?id=04p7u1gIsv}, } @inproceedings{neurips2025_uncertainty_76252, title = {{Uncertainty Quantification for Physics-Informed Neural Networks with Extended Fiducial Inference}}, booktitle = {Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems (NeurIPS)}, year = {2025}, url = {https://openreview.net/forum?id=HFcQGutJJn}, } @inproceedings{neurips2025_uncertainty_77242, title = {{Uncertainty Quantification with the Empirical Neural Tangent Kernel}}, booktitle = {Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems (NeurIPS)}, year = {2025}, url = {https://openreview.net/forum?id=Ro1a0MTRq5}, } @inproceedings{iclr2025_distribution_83507, title = {{Distribution-Free Data Uncertainty for Neural Network Regression}}, booktitle = {International Conference on Learning Representations (ICLR)}, year = {2025}, url = {https://iclr.cc/virtual/2025/poster/28309}, } @inproceedings{iclr2025_hierarchical_83955, title = {{Hierarchical Uncertainty Estimation for Learning-based Registration in Neuroimaging}}, booktitle = {International Conference on Learning Representations (ICLR)}, year = {2025}, url = {https://iclr.cc/virtual/2025/poster/27869}, } @inproceedings{neurips2026_deep_94380, title = {{Deep Heteroskedastic Regression: Post-Hoc Variance Estimation from Latent Representations}}, booktitle = {Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems (NeurIPS)}, year = {2026}, url = {https://neurips.cc/virtual/2026/poster/151494}, }