% Key papers for Regression uncertainty quantification (scime atlas, https://atlas.scime.ai). Authors are not included: add them from the paper pages. @inproceedings{icml2018_high_36738, title = {{High-Quality Prediction Intervals for Deep Learning: A Distribution-Free, Ensembled Approach}}, booktitle = {International Conference on Machine Learning (ICML)}, year = {2018}, url = {https://icml.cc/virtual/2018/poster/2188}, } @inproceedings{cvpr2019_learning_14431, title = {{Learning for Single-Shot Confidence Calibration in Deep Neural Networks Through Stochastic Inferences}}, booktitle = {IEEE/CVF Conference on Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition (CVPR)}, year = {2019}, } @inproceedings{aaai2024_robust_7179, title = {{Robust Uncertainty Quantification Using Conformalised Monte Carlo Prediction}}, booktitle = {AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence (AAAI)}, year = {2024}, url = {https://ojs.aaai.org/index.php/AAAI/article/view/30084}, } @inproceedings{neurips2016_testing_56035, title = {{Testing for Differences in Gaussian Graphical Models: Applications to Brain Connectivity}}, booktitle = {Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems (NeurIPS)}, year = {2016}, url = {https://nips.cc/virtual/2016/poster/7209}, } @inproceedings{neurips2022_training_64758, title = {{Training Uncertainty-Aware Classifiers with Conformalized Deep Learning}}, booktitle = {Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems (NeurIPS)}, year = {2022}, url = {https://nips.cc/virtual/2022/poster/54954}, } @inproceedings{neurips2021_beyond_62182, title = {{Beyond Pinball Loss: Quantile Methods for Calibrated Uncertainty Quantification}}, booktitle = {Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems (NeurIPS)}, year = {2021}, url = {https://nips.cc/virtual/2021/poster/27027}, } @inproceedings{icml2020_discriminative_38109, title = {{Discriminative Jackknife: Quantifying Uncertainty in Deep Learning via Higher-Order Influence Functions}}, booktitle = {International Conference on Machine Learning (ICML)}, year = {2020}, url = {https://icml.cc/virtual/2020/poster/6179}, } @inproceedings{icml2022_image_40672, title = {{Image-to-Image Regression with Distribution-Free Uncertainty Quantification and Applications in Imaging}}, booktitle = {International Conference on Machine Learning (ICML)}, year = {2022}, url = {https://icml.cc/virtual/2022/poster/16833}, } @inproceedings{aaai2021_learning_892, title = {{Learning Prediction Intervals for Model Performance}}, booktitle = {AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence (AAAI)}, year = {2021}, url = {https://aaai.org/papers/07305-learning-prediction-intervals-for-model-performance/}, } @inproceedings{neurips2020_confidence_59567, title = {{Confidence sequences for sampling without replacement}}, booktitle = {Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems (NeurIPS)}, year = {2020}, url = {https://nips.cc/virtual/2020/poster/18900}, } @inproceedings{icml2019_distribution_37305, title = {{Distribution calibration for regression}}, booktitle = {International Conference on Machine Learning (ICML)}, year = {2019}, url = {https://icml.cc/virtual/2019/poster/4047}, } @inproceedings{neurips2024_neural_74644, title = {{Neural Conditional Probability for Uncertainty Quantification}}, booktitle = {Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems (NeurIPS)}, year = {2024}, url = {https://neurips.cc/virtual/2024/poster/92949}, } @inproceedings{aaai2025_combining_8463, title = {{Combining Priors with Experience: Confidence Calibration Based on Binomial Process Modeling}}, booktitle = {AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence (AAAI)}, year = {2025}, url = {https://ojs.aaai.org/index.php/AAAI/article/view/33792}, } @inproceedings{icml2022_calibrated_40316, title = {{Calibrated and Sharp Uncertainties in Deep Learning via Density Estimation}}, booktitle = {International Conference on Machine Learning (ICML)}, year = {2022}, url = {https://icml.cc/virtual/2022/poster/17391}, } @inproceedings{neurips2021_locally_63535, title = {{Locally Valid and Discriminative Prediction Intervals for Deep Learning Models}}, booktitle = {Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems (NeurIPS)}, year = {2021}, url = {https://nips.cc/virtual/2021/poster/27965}, } @inproceedings{aaai2026_beta_108830, title = {{Beta Distribution Learning for Reliable Roadway Crash Risk Assessment}}, booktitle = {AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence (AAAI)}, year = {2026}, url = {https://ojs.aaai.org/index.php/AAAI/article/view/41182}, } @inproceedings{icml2020_on_38541, title = {{On Semi-parametric Inference for BART}}, booktitle = {International Conference on Machine Learning (ICML)}, year = {2020}, url = {https://icml.cc/virtual/2020/poster/6511}, } @inproceedings{neurips2022_jaws_65024, title = {{JAWS: Auditing Predictive Uncertainty Under Covariate Shift}}, booktitle = {Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems (NeurIPS)}, year = {2022}, url = {https://nips.cc/virtual/2022/poster/52881}, } @inproceedings{neurips2023_efficient_66914, title = {{Efficient Uncertainty Quantification and Reduction for Over-Parameterized Neural Networks}}, booktitle = {Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems (NeurIPS)}, year = {2023}, url = {https://nips.cc/virtual/2023/poster/72732}, } @inproceedings{neurips2024_treeffuser_70427, title = {{Treeffuser: probabilistic prediction via conditional diffusions with gradient-boosted trees}}, booktitle = {Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems (NeurIPS)}, year = {2024}, url = {https://neurips.cc/virtual/2024/poster/96678}, } @inproceedings{neurips2024_score_71598, title = {{Score-based generative models are provably robust: an uncertainty quantification perspective}}, booktitle = {Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems (NeurIPS)}, year = {2024}, url = {https://neurips.cc/virtual/2024/poster/95673}, } @inproceedings{neurips2024_transductive_74230, title = {{Transductive Active Learning: Theory and Applications}}, booktitle = {Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems (NeurIPS)}, year = {2024}, url = {https://neurips.cc/virtual/2024/poster/93324}, } @inproceedings{aaai2025_personalizedus_10291, title = {{PersonalizedUS: Interpretable Breast Cancer Risk Assessment with Local Coverage Uncertainty Quantification}}, booktitle = {AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence (AAAI)}, year = {2025}, url = {https://ojs.aaai.org/index.php/AAAI/article/view/35017}, } @inproceedings{iclr2024_uncertainty_34783, title = {{Uncertainty Quantification via Stable Distribution Propagation}}, booktitle = {International Conference on Learning Representations (ICLR)}, year = {2024}, url = {https://iclr.cc/virtual/2024/poster/18291}, } @inproceedings{icml2026_principled_52897, title = {{Principled Confidence Estimation for Deep Computed Tomography}}, booktitle = {International Conference on Machine Learning (ICML)}, year = {2026}, url = {https://openreview.net/forum?id=a6vCNSBBeq}, } @inproceedings{icml2026_nonparametric_53433, title = {{Nonparametric Distribution Regression Re-calibration}}, booktitle = {International Conference on Machine Learning (ICML)}, year = {2026}, url = {https://openreview.net/forum?id=fTl7NXYtAB}, } @inproceedings{neurips2024_non_72166, title = {{Non-Asymptotic Uncertainty Quantification in High-Dimensional Learning}}, booktitle = {Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems (NeurIPS)}, year = {2024}, url = {https://neurips.cc/virtual/2024/poster/95172}, } @inproceedings{neurips2025_uncertainty_77936, title = {{Uncertainty Quantification for Deep Regression using Contextualised Normalizing Flows}}, booktitle = {Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems (NeurIPS)}, year = {2025}, url = {https://openreview.net/forum?id=ZL7RuWd6QK}, } @inproceedings{neurips2025_bernstein_78081, title = {{Bernstein–von Mises for Adaptively Collected Data}}, booktitle = {Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems (NeurIPS)}, year = {2025}, url = {https://openreview.net/forum?id=arw2uk9Ica}, } @inproceedings{neurips2025_statistical_78596, title = {{Statistical Inference for Gradient Boosting Regression}}, booktitle = {Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems (NeurIPS)}, year = {2025}, url = {https://openreview.net/forum?id=gLU0UV85Kv}, } @inproceedings{neurips2025_smooth_79092, title = {{Smooth Sailing: Lipschitz-Driven Uncertainty Quantification for Spatial Associations}}, booktitle = {Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems (NeurIPS)}, year = {2025}, url = {https://openreview.net/forum?id=lTP1RxTFSX}, } @inproceedings{neurips2025_credal_79627, title = {{Credal Prediction based on Relative Likelihood}}, booktitle = {Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems (NeurIPS)}, year = {2025}, url = {https://openreview.net/forum?id=rKM3oqruN3}, } @inproceedings{iclr2025_conformalized_82549, title = {{Conformalized Interactive Imitation Learning: Handling Expert Shift and Intermittent Feedback}}, booktitle = {International Conference on Learning Representations (ICLR)}, year = {2025}, url = {https://iclr.cc/virtual/2025/poster/29247}, } @inproceedings{iclr2026_efficient_85218, title = {{Efficient Credal Prediction through Decalibration}}, booktitle = {International Conference on Learning Representations (ICLR)}, year = {2026}, url = {https://openreview.net/forum?id=BqOmsYIe7M}, } @inproceedings{neurips2026_proper_90665, title = {{Proper Scoring Rules for Agentic Uncertainty Quantification}}, booktitle = {Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems (NeurIPS)}, year = {2026}, url = {https://neurips.cc/virtual/2026/poster/155086}, }