% Key papers for Epistemic versus aleatoric decomposition (scime atlas, https://atlas.scime.ai). Authors are not included: add them from the paper pages. @inproceedings{neurips2017_what_56773, title = {{What Uncertainties Do We Need in Bayesian Deep Learning for Computer Vision?}}, booktitle = {Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems (NeurIPS)}, year = {2017}, url = {https://nips.cc/virtual/2017/poster/9332}, } @inproceedings{aaai2020_crowd_103745, title = {{Crowd Counting with Decomposed Uncertainty}}, booktitle = {AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence (AAAI)}, year = {2020}, url = {https://ojs.aaai.org/index.php/AAAI/article/view/6852}, } @inproceedings{neurips2019_cxplain_57970, title = {{CXPlain: Causal Explanations for Model Interpretation under Uncertainty}}, booktitle = {Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems (NeurIPS)}, year = {2019}, url = {https://nips.cc/virtual/2019/poster/14040}, } @inproceedings{cvpr2021_learning_17293, title = {{Learning Probabilistic Ordinal Embeddings for Uncertainty-Aware Regression}}, booktitle = {IEEE/CVF Conference on Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition (CVPR)}, year = {2021}, } @inproceedings{iclr2021_getting_30397, title = {{Getting a CLUE: A Method for Explaining Uncertainty Estimates}}, booktitle = {International Conference on Learning Representations (ICLR)}, year = {2021}, url = {https://iclr.cc/virtual/2021/poster/2741}, } @inproceedings{aaai2023_the_4811, title = {{The Unreasonable Effectiveness of Deep Evidential Regression}}, booktitle = {AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence (AAAI)}, year = {2023}, url = {https://ojs.aaai.org/index.php/AAAI/article/view/26096}, } @inproceedings{iclr2021_uncertainty_30567, title = {{Uncertainty Estimation in Autoregressive Structured Prediction}}, booktitle = {International Conference on Learning Representations (ICLR)}, year = {2021}, url = {https://iclr.cc/virtual/2021/poster/3015}, } @inproceedings{aaai2022_improving_2234, title = {{Improving Evidential Deep Learning via Multi-Task Learning}}, booktitle = {AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence (AAAI)}, year = {2022}, url = {https://aaai.org/papers/07895-improving-evidential-deep-learning-via-multi-task-learning/}, } @inproceedings{neurips2021_reliable_62493, title = {{Reliable Post hoc Explanations: Modeling Uncertainty in Explainability}}, booktitle = {Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems (NeurIPS)}, year = {2021}, url = {https://nips.cc/virtual/2021/poster/27871}, } @inproceedings{neurips2024_estimating_72535, title = {{Estimating Epistemic and Aleatoric Uncertainty with a Single Model}}, booktitle = {Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems (NeurIPS)}, year = {2024}, url = {https://neurips.cc/virtual/2024/poster/94833}, } @inproceedings{aaai2022_diverse_1994, title = {{Diverse, Global and Amortised Counterfactual Explanations for Uncertainty Estimates}}, booktitle = {AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence (AAAI)}, year = {2022}, url = {https://aaai.org/papers/07390-diverse-global-and-amortised-counterfactual-explanations-for-uncertainty-estimates/}, } @inproceedings{aaai2023_monitoring_4183, title = {{Monitoring Model Deterioration with Explainable Uncertainty Estimation via Non-parametric Bootstrap}}, booktitle = {AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence (AAAI)}, year = {2023}, url = {https://ojs.aaai.org/index.php/AAAI/article/view/26755}, } @inproceedings{neurips2020_deep_59652, title = {{Deep Evidential Regression}}, booktitle = {Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems (NeurIPS)}, year = {2020}, url = {https://nips.cc/virtual/2020/poster/18894}, } @inproceedings{aaai2017_estimating_104572, title = {{Estimating Uncertainty Online Against an Adversary}}, booktitle = {AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence (AAAI)}, year = {2017}, url = {https://ojs.aaai.org/index.php/AAAI/article/view/10949}, } @inproceedings{neurips2022_pitfalls_65575, title = {{Pitfalls of Epistemic Uncertainty Quantification through Loss Minimisation}}, booktitle = {Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems (NeurIPS)}, year = {2022}, url = {https://nips.cc/virtual/2022/poster/52837}, } @inproceedings{neurips2024_benchmarking_74475, title = {{Benchmarking Uncertainty Disentanglement: Specialized Uncertainties for Specialized Tasks}}, booktitle = {Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems (NeurIPS)}, year = {2024}, url = {https://neurips.cc/virtual/2024/poster/97444}, } @inproceedings{neurips2022_on_66017, title = {{On Uncertainty, Tempering, and Data Augmentation in Bayesian Classification}}, booktitle = {Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems (NeurIPS)}, year = {2022}, url = {https://nips.cc/virtual/2022/poster/52923}, } @inproceedings{aaai2024_one_6843, title = {{One Step Closer to Unbiased Aleatoric Uncertainty Estimation}}, booktitle = {AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence (AAAI)}, year = {2024}, url = {https://ojs.aaai.org/index.php/AAAI/article/view/29627}, } @inproceedings{icml2024_using_44998, title = {{Using AI Uncertainty Quantification to Improve Human Decision-Making}}, booktitle = {International Conference on Machine Learning (ICML)}, year = {2024}, url = {https://icml.cc/virtual/2024/poster/33454}, } @inproceedings{aaai2023_normalizing_4255, title = {{Normalizing Flow Ensembles for Rich Aleatoric and Epistemic Uncertainty Modeling}}, booktitle = {AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence (AAAI)}, year = {2023}, url = {https://ojs.aaai.org/index.php/AAAI/article/view/25834}, } @inproceedings{neurips2024_are_71982, title = {{Are Uncertainty Quantification Capabilities of Evidential Deep Learning a Mirage?}}, booktitle = {Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems (NeurIPS)}, year = {2024}, url = {https://neurips.cc/virtual/2024/poster/95329}, } @inproceedings{aaai2025_adaptive_8042, title = {{Adaptive Sampling to Reduce Epistemic Uncertainty Using Prediction Interval-Generation Neural Networks}}, booktitle = {AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence (AAAI)}, year = {2025}, url = {https://ojs.aaai.org/index.php/AAAI/article/view/34152}, } @inproceedings{aaai2025_things_10992, title = {{Things Machine Learning Models Know That They Don’t Know}}, booktitle = {AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence (AAAI)}, year = {2025}, url = {https://ojs.aaai.org/index.php/AAAI/article/view/35094}, } @inproceedings{icml2026_cooperative_50307, title = {{Cooperative Variance Estimation and Bayesian Neural Networks for Disentangling Aleatoric and Epistemic Uncertainties}}, booktitle = {International Conference on Machine Learning (ICML)}, year = {2026}, url = {https://openreview.net/forum?id=B5umYh4CGr}, } @inproceedings{iclr2025_from_82758, title = {{From Risk to Uncertainty: Generating Predictive Uncertainty Measures via Bayesian Estimation}}, booktitle = {International Conference on Learning Representations (ICLR)}, year = {2025}, url = {https://iclr.cc/virtual/2025/poster/29041}, } @inproceedings{aaai2025_epistemic_9002, title = {{Epistemic Bellman Operators}}, booktitle = {AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence (AAAI)}, year = {2025}, url = {https://ojs.aaai.org/index.php/AAAI/article/view/35393}, } @inproceedings{icml2024_experts_43686, title = {{Experts Don't Cheat: Learning What You Don't Know By Predicting Pairs}}, booktitle = {International Conference on Machine Learning (ICML)}, year = {2024}, url = {https://icml.cc/virtual/2024/poster/34766}, } @inproceedings{icml2024_is_45304, title = {{Is Epistemic Uncertainty Faithfully Represented by Evidential Deep Learning Methods?}}, booktitle = {International Conference on Machine Learning (ICML)}, year = {2024}, url = {https://icml.cc/virtual/2024/poster/33148}, } @inproceedings{neurips2025_rethinking_80217, title = {{Rethinking Approximate Gaussian Inference in Classification}}, booktitle = {Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems (NeurIPS)}, year = {2025}, url = {https://openreview.net/forum?id=xPQyRmZ8hz}, } @inproceedings{aaai2025_repeat_10440, title = {{REPEAT: Improving Uncertainty Estimation in Representation Learning Explainability}}, booktitle = {AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence (AAAI)}, year = {2025}, url = {https://ojs.aaai.org/index.php/AAAI/article/view/32900}, } @inproceedings{cvpr2024_epistemic_23383, title = {{Epistemic Uncertainty Quantification For Pre-Trained Neural Networks}}, booktitle = {IEEE/CVF Conference on Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition (CVPR)}, year = {2024}, url = {https://cvpr.thecvf.com/virtual/2024/poster/30735}, } @inproceedings{icml2024_on_44422, title = {{On the Independence Assumption in Neurosymbolic Learning}}, booktitle = {International Conference on Machine Learning (ICML)}, year = {2024}, url = {https://icml.cc/virtual/2024/poster/34030}, } @inproceedings{icml2024_can_44495, title = {{Can Machines Learn the True Probabilities?}}, booktitle = {International Conference on Machine Learning (ICML)}, year = {2024}, url = {https://icml.cc/virtual/2024/poster/33957}, } @inproceedings{icml2024_second_44534, title = {{Second-Order Uncertainty Quantification: A Distance-Based Approach}}, booktitle = {International Conference on Machine Learning (ICML)}, year = {2024}, url = {https://icml.cc/virtual/2024/poster/33918}, } @inproceedings{icml2024_beyond_44693, title = {{Beyond the Norms: Detecting Prediction Errors in Regression Models}}, booktitle = {International Conference on Machine Learning (ICML)}, year = {2024}, url = {https://icml.cc/virtual/2024/poster/33759}, } @inproceedings{icml2025_rethinking_46510, title = {{Rethinking Aleatoric and Epistemic Uncertainty}}, booktitle = {International Conference on Machine Learning (ICML)}, year = {2025}, url = {https://icml.cc/virtual/2025/poster/46057}, }