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Knockoffs Inference for Partially Linear Models with Automatic Structure Discovery

AAAI 2025 · Probabilistic and scientific modeling › Molecules and proteins · approach: Prediction-powered and conformal inference · 0 citations (OpenAlex)

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Proposes KI-LAND, a knockoffs-based variable selection method for partially linear models that controls FDR separately for linear and nonlinear covariate effects, with FDR and power theory and simulation experiments.

Problem

Variable selection in partially linear / additive models lacks false discovery rate control, and existing knockoff methods do not jointly control FDR for linear and nonlinear effects or give power guarantees for nonlinear settings.

Approach

Combines model-X or deep knockoffs with a LAND-style penalized RKHS (Sobolev) regression that separately penalizes linear and nonlinear components, uses subsampling selection frequencies as knockoff statistics, and applies knockoff thresholds to select linear and nonlinear variable sets with FDR and power guarantees.

Key results

Measured effects reported in the paper

What was changedWhereMeasuredEffect
Use KI-LAND to select linear and nonlinear variablesKI-LAND · Simulated data, varying sample sizepowerHelped
Increase the variable dimensionKI-LAND · Simulated data, varying variable dimensionpowerHurt
Increase the correlation between variablesKI-LAND · Simulated data, varying correlationpowerHurt
Use KI-LAND instead of LANDSimulated data, n=200, d=100, ρ=0.2 · Simulated data, n=200, d=100, ρ=0.2FDR: 0.3182 -> 0.2000Helped
Use KKO instead of KI-LANDSimulated data, n=200, d=100, ρ=0.2 · Simulated data, n=200, d=100, ρ=0.2power: 90.00% -> 80.00%Hurt
Use Model-X for nonlinear relationshipsSimulated data · Simulated datapowerHurt

Surprising findings

Limitations

Experimental setup

Datasets: simulated data

Benchmarks: simulated PLM data with d=50-400 and n=50-400

Metrics: FDR power

Baselines: LAND KKO Model-X knockoffs

Builds on: model-X knockoffs LAND kernel knockoffs (KKO) deep knockoffs stability selection

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