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Improving Multimodal Social Media Popularity Prediction via Selective Retrieval Knowledge Augmentation

AAAI 2025 · Vision-language and multimodal › Human and embodied modeling · approach: Multimodal retrieval-augmented modeling · 14 citations (OpenAlex)

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Proposes SKAPP, a selective retrieval-augmented framework for multimodal social media popularity prediction that uses a metadata-aware meta retriever, an RRCP-based selective refiner, and vision-language GNNs with RRCP-attention fusion.

Problem

Predicting popularity of multimodal user-generated content (UGC) on social media, where existing methods treat each UGC in isolation and simple semantic retrieval introduces irrelevant or noisy context.

Approach

A meta retriever builds BM25 queries from vision-language descriptions plus metadata (user, tags, posting info), and a selective refiner keeps only retrieved UGCs whose Relative Retrieval Contribution to Prediction (RRCP) is non-negative; the kept UGCs are aggregated by vision and language GNNs and fused with RRCP-weighted attention.

Key results

Measured effects reported in the paper

What was changedWhereMeasuredEffect
Add SKAPP selective retrieval knowledge augmentationmultimodal popularity prediction · ICIPMSE: 1.7600 -> 0.9662Helped
Add SKAPP selective retrieval knowledge augmentationmultimodal popularity prediction · SMPDMSE: 3.5119 -> 1.8196Helped
Add SKAPP selective retrieval knowledge augmentationmultimodal popularity prediction · InstagramMSE: 3.9456 -> 2.0936Helped
Add retrieval (ablation)SKAPP · ICIPMSE: 1.5614 -> 0.9662Helped
Add retrieval (ablation)SKAPP · SMPDMSE: 4.0443 -> 1.8196Helped
Add retrieval (ablation)SKAPP · InstagramMSE: 3.2734 -> 2.0936Helped
Add the meta retriever (ablation)SKAPP · ICIPMSE: 1.9006 -> 0.9662Helped
Add the meta retriever (ablation)SKAPP · SMPDMSE: 4.1353 -> 1.8196Helped
Add the meta retriever (ablation)SKAPP · InstagramMSE: 5.2537 -> 2.0936Helped
Add the selective refiner (ablation)SKAPP · ICIPMSE: 1.1004 -> 0.9662Helped
Add the selective refiner (ablation)SKAPP · SMPDMSE: 2.0854 -> 1.8196Helped
Add the selective refiner (ablation)SKAPP · InstagramMSE: 2.6332 -> 2.0936Helped

Surprising findings

Limitations

Experimental setup

Datasets: ICIP SMPD Instagram

Benchmarks: ICIP SMPD Instagram

Metrics: MSE MAE Spearman's rank correlation

Baselines: SVR HyFea MFTM CLSTM HMMVED DLBA MASSL BLIP CBAN NIPA MMRA

Builds on: GraphAdapter BM25 conditional cross-mutual information NIPA MMRA

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