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Does Your Neural Network Extrapolate? Feature Engineering as Identifiability Bias for OOD Generalization

NeurIPS 2026 · Label-efficient and robust learning › OOD and anomaly detection · approach: Out-of-distribution generalization theory · 0 citations (OpenAlex)

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Argues OOD extrapolation from a single training window is non-identifiable without a structural commitment (feature map, label map, model class), and shows via toy, cross-domain (chemistry, Kepler, DNA) and positional-encoding experiments that correct feature maps yield large OOD gains at equal ID loss.

Problem

When can neural networks extrapolate out-of-distribution from an in-distribution training window, given that many data-generating processes are observationally equivalent on the training data but diverge outside it?

Approach

Frames the feature map, label map and model class (phi, psi, M) as a joint DGP commitment that resolves OOD non-identifiability; correctness is relative to the model class; shows that correct features with a matching linear head give zero OOD error under realisability, and proposes near-boundary validation and a SINDy-based delta_OOD diagnostic for selecting the commitment.

Key results

Surprising findings

Limitations

Experimental setup

Datasets: NASA Exoplanet Archive S. cerevisiae chromosomes I-IX E. coli B. subtilis S. pombe P. falciparum M. tuberculosis

Benchmarks: sin(x) vs Taylor-9 OOD extrapolation power law vs exponential mass-action kinetics Kepler's third law cross-species CDS detection periodic positional-encoding task

Metrics: OOD relative error (MAPE) ID error AUROC delta_OOD SINDy residual Spearman correlation

Baselines: MLP TabPFN TimesFM SINDy DNABERT Mamba S4D

Builds on: SINDy Rashomon set Fourier neural operator PINN

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