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Hotspotter: A Generalizable Pipeline for Automated Detection of Subtle Volcanic Thermal Features in Satellite Images
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Proposes Hotspotter, a pipeline that combines unsupervised LRX anomaly scoring with a shallow supervised CNN filter to detect subtle volcanic thermal features in ASTER satellite images and derive thermal statistics.
Problem
Automated detection of subtle volcanic thermal features (VTFs) in high-resolution thermal satellite imagery across a globally diverse set of volcanoes, where labeled data is limited and manual curation is labor-intensive.
Approach
Use an unsupervised Local Reed-Xiaoli (LRX) anomaly detector to produce pixel-wise anomaly score images, then a shallow 3-layer CNN to classify each score image as true VTF or false positive, and extract thermal statistics from the top-scoring pixel.
Key results
- LRX+CNN achieved 90.3% test accuracy and 0.901 F1 on a random split, versus 83.1% accuracy for CNN-only and 63.1% for a fixed threshold.
- On non-overlapping volcano splits, LRX+CNN reached 88.9% accuracy versus 63.7% for CNN-only.
- For unseen volcanoes, thermal statistic MAE was 3.23 K (max temperature), 4.27 K (mean background), 11.48 K (max above background), and 5.16 K (std dev).
Measured effects reported in the paper
| What was changed | Where | Measured | Effect |
|---|---|---|---|
| Add LRX anomaly scoring before CNN classification (ablation) | Hotspotter · VTF detection, random split | accuracy: 0.831 -> 0.903 | Helped |
| Add LRX anomaly scoring before CNN classification (ablation) | Hotspotter · VTF detection, non-overlapping split | accuracy: 0.637 -> 0.889 | Helped |
| Use LRX+CNN instead of fixed temperature thresholding | VTF detection · VTF detection, random split | accuracy: 0.631 -> 0.903 | Helped |
| Use a shallow 3-layer CNN rather than deeper configurations (ablation) | Hotspotter CNN classifier · VTF detection | performance | Helped |
Surprising findings
- The CNN-only model performed far worse on non-overlapping volcano splits (63.7%) than on random splits (83.1%), indicating poor generalization without LRX preprocessing.
- A simple 2 K threshold baseline reached only 63% accuracy, below the learned pipeline.
Limitations
- Relies on a single labeled database (Gomez-Patron et al. 2023) for ground truth, and ASTER data is cloud-filtered manually.
- Thermal statistic errors are large for max temperature above background (11.48 K MAE).
- Performance varies across random seeds and train/test splits.
Experimental setup
Datasets: ASTER AST_08 thermal images (2000-2022, 129 volcanoes) Gomez-Patron et al. (2023) VTF database AVTOD
Benchmarks: Hotspotter ASTER VTF test split (7,968 points, 129 volcanoes)
Metrics: accuracy F1 score precision at N mean absolute error (K)
Baselines: CNN-only on thermal images fixed temperature threshold (2 K above background) MOUNTS Corradino et al. U-Net Corradino et al. random forest
Builds on: DORA AVTOD MOUNTS Local Reed-Xiaoli detector
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