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Graph-Based Stochastic-Power-UCT: Monte-Carlo Graph Search with Power Mean Estimation
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Proposes GS-Power-UCT, a graph-based MCTS for stochastic MDPs that merges states by (state, depth) keys with power-mean backups and polynomial bonuses, plus a full-state variant with adaptive horizon, and gives O(n^{-1/2}) root convergence theory and simulation-budget experiments.
Problem
Tree-based MCTS duplicates states reached via different trajectories, wasting simulations in stochastic MDPs; existing graph-based MCTS lacks convergence theory for stochastic MDPs.
Approach
Key search-graph nodes by (state, depth) so the graph is a DAG for any MDP and same-depth transpositions share statistics; combine with power-mean backup and polynomial exploration bonus, and offer a full-state variant with adaptive horizon H(n) whose cross-depth bias vanishes under a gap condition.
Key results
- Depth-augmented GS-Power-UCT is particularly effective at small and moderate simulation budgets in the stochastic domains tested.
- GS-Power-UCT-F+ is competitive in four of five domains but underperforms in Passenger Grid.
- Theory: root expected error O(n^{-1/2}) for fixed horizon, matching tree-based Stochastic-Power-UCT.
Surprising findings
- Full-state merging can introduce cross-depth bias and underperform in Passenger Grid.
Limitations
- Assumes non-negative rewards for the power-mean backup.
- Sharing helps only with same-depth transpositions; otherwise overhead without benefit.
- Memory and hash-table overhead can grow up to |S|*H nodes.
Experimental setup
Datasets: five stochastic MDP planning benchmarks (including Passenger Grid)
Benchmarks: five stochastic MDP environments including Passenger Grid
Metrics: planning performance vs simulation budget
Baselines: UCT MENTS Stochastic-Power-UCT GBOP
Builds on: Stochastic-Power-UCT UCT Monte-Carlo Graph Search MENTS Fixed-Depth-MCTS
Closest papers by meaning
- Power Mean Estimation in Stochastic Continuous Monte-Carlo Tree Search (ICML 2025 · similarity 0.93)
- Monte-Carlo Tree Search with Uncertainty Propagation via Optimal Transport (ICML 2025 · similarity 0.89)
- Monte Carlo Tree Search in the Presence of Transition Uncertainty (AAAI 2024 · similarity 0.88)
- Graph Sparse Sampling: Breaking the Curse of the Horizon in Continuous MDP Planning (NeurIPS 2026 · similarity 0.88)
- Threshold UCT: Cost-Constrained Monte Carlo Tree Search with Pareto Curves (AAAI 2025 · similarity 0.88)
- Provably Efficient Long-Horizon Exploration in Monte Carlo Tree Search through State Occupancy Regularization (ICML 2024 · similarity 0.87)
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