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When Debate Helps: Proposal Supply and Verification-Aware Readout in Multi-Agent Reasoning
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Argues debate beats majority vote only when correct minority proposals are supplied and a verification-aware readout recovers them; proposes coverage-based neural-thicket society construction (label-based and label-free) and the LVD readout model, validated on Qwen3-4B and OLMo-3-7B.
Problem
Multi-agent debate often fails to beat simple majority voting; it is unclear when interaction adds value beyond vote, given the martingale-null theory that debate without truth-directed signal cannot improve expected correctness.
Approach
Decomposes debate gains into proposal supply (whether a correct answer is surfaced, measured as recoverable headroom) and readout (whether verification-aware evidence lets the system recover a correct minority answer). Builds agent societies from neural-thicket perturbations via answer-coverage or support-coverage greedy selection, and models verification evidence as pseudo-counts added to proposa
Key results
- Five-run stochastic robustness: SC-Greedy and AC-Greedy beat Vanilla Debate by +1.14 and +1.46 points on Qwen3-4B and +0.96 and +2.01 points on OLMo3-7B (paired 95% CIs reported).
- Round-level control: applying the same finalizer to R0 yields 76.09% accuracy vs 78.34% at R2 and 78.52% at R3, so interaction adds gains beyond an immediate finalizer.
- Controlled fixed-proposal probes: at d=3 correct peer support raises accuracy from .325 to .655 averaged across four backbone-dataset combinations.
Surprising findings
- On OLMo MATH500, all four societies retain 3.33–6.33 points of proposal-hit headroom yet have negative final lift, indicating a readout conversion bottleneck.
- The standard (non-verification) debate prompt keeps more proposal-hit coverage after R2 but does not raise final accuracy (0.07-point overall difference).
Limitations
- Debate gains are task- and backbone-dependent; headroom conversion fails on some tasks (e.g., OLMo MATH500).
- Equivalent-support and LVD weights are operational abstractions, not literal internal counters.
- Stochastic robustness intervals capture generation-seed variability only, not test-question resampling; some CIs lie near zero.
Experimental setup
Datasets: AMC12 MATH500 GPQA MMLU-Redux OlympiadBench
Benchmarks: AMC12 MATH500 GPQA MMLU-Redux OlympiadBench
Metrics: accuracy proposal-hit rate lift over vote paired 95% CI
Baselines: Self-Consistency (SC@20) Vanilla Debate Neural Thicket Vote Top-4 Debate Neural Thicket Debate
Builds on: neural thickets Vanilla Debate self-consistency Dirichlet-categorical-multinomial accounting
Closest papers by meaning
- Debate or Vote: Which Yields Better Decisions in Multi-Agent Large Language Models? (NeurIPS 2025 · similarity 0.91)
- Multi-LLM Debate: Framework, Principals, and Interventions (NeurIPS 2024 · similarity 0.91)
- Efficient Multi-Agent Reasoning via Confidence-Guided Adaptive Debate (ICML 2026 · similarity 0.91)
- Should we be going MAD? A Look at Multi-Agent Debate Strategies for LLMs (ICML 2024 · similarity 0.91)
- Multi-Agent Debate for LLM Judges with Adaptive Stability Detection (NeurIPS 2025 · similarity 0.90)
- Group Perspective Matters: Regulating Debate Relationships Can Mitigate Blind Conformity in Multi-Agent Debate (NeurIPS 2026 · similarity 0.90)
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