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High-Probability Minimax Adaptive Estimation in Besov Spaces via Online-to-Batch
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Proposes a wavelet-based online learning algorithm with adaptive gradient clipping and expert aggregation that, via a refined online-to-batch conversion, yields high-probability, noise-level-adaptive minimax-optimal estimation rates for Besov regression.
Problem
Nonparametric regression over Besov spaces under sub-exponential noise requires minimax-optimal integrated squared error bounds that hold with high probability and adapt to unknown noise level and Besov parameters; standard online-to-batch conversion fails to give sharp high-probability rates in low
Approach
Combines comparator-adaptive online learners on wavelet coefficients with an adaptive clipping margin chosen by second-order expert aggregation over a grid of margins, and uses self-normalized concentration with a refined online-to-batch conversion to obtain l1-comparator high-probability regret and minimax risk bounds without knowing noise or Besov parameters.
Key results
- High-probability risk bound of order (||f||_B)^{2d/(2s+d)} (sigma^2)^{2s/(2s+d)} T^{-2s/(2s+d)} + B^2 log^2 T / T * log(1/delta), matching noise-level-aware minimax rates while adapting to unknown sigma, s, p, q.
- Adaptive clipping achieves high-probability l1-comparator regret O~(||c||_1 (G+sigma) sqrt(T)) without knowing noise parameters, answering an open question from prior work.
- Regret bounds hold with probability 1-6delta with only an O(log^2 T) overhead over oracle clipping.
Surprising findings
- Standard online-to-batch conversion from optimal adversarial online regret fails to yield minimax-optimal batch rates when s < d/2.
Limitations
- Expert set size grows polynomially in T (exponential in J0 via grid over initial scaling coefficients), making the method computationally heavy.
- Results stated for L2 risk only; extension to L^p' risks left open.
- Requires assumptions such as sub-exponential noise, bounded sup-norm of target, and s - d/p >= kappa > 0.
Experimental setup
Metrics: integrated squared error high-probability regret excess risk
Baselines: classical wavelet shrinkage noise-level-aware minimax estimator (batch) standard online-to-batch conversion
Builds on: comparator-adaptive online learning (coin-betting / mirror descent) MLProd Squint Online-to-batch conversion Adaptive online wavelet regression (Gaillard and Gerchinovitz-style multiscale a
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