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Path Dependence under Adaptive AI Delegation

NeurIPS 2026 · Large language models › AI and society · approach: Social-science view of AI evaluation · 0 citations (OpenAlex)

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Proposes a two-state ODE model (latent skill and AI-delegation level) with error-driven learning, decay under delegation, and performance-driven reliance, showing bistability with a saddle separatrix, path dependence, and short-run gains masking long-run skill loss.

Problem

How adaptive reliance on AI assistance co-evolves with human skill over repeated tasks, and when small differences in initial skill or reliance lead to different long-run outcomes.

Approach

Couples a natural-gradient skill-learning/decay flow with a delegation flow driven by the performance gap between independent and AI-assisted work, yielding two attracting regimes (high skill/low delegation and low skill/high delegation) separated by the stable manifold of an interior saddle.

Key results

Surprising findings

Limitations

Experimental setup

Metrics: basin membership performance gap G_ell(t) crossing time t_c

Baselines: fixed delegation no-AI baseline

Builds on: performative prediction item response theory natural gradient

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