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Does 1/2-Tsallis-INF Also Work Well for Best-Arm Identification?
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Shows that the unmodified 1/2-Tsallis-INF FTRL bandit algorithm, whose importance-weighted cumulative loss estimates identify the empirical best arm, has best-arm identification failure probability decaying polynomially at rate about t^{-2+alpha^2 mu/4+rho}, with a matching-order lower bound of t^{-2-eps}.
Problem
Whether the best-of-both-worlds 1/2-Tsallis-INF algorithm, without extra exploration, identifies the best arm reliably from its importance-weighted cumulative loss estimates in stochastic bandits; i.e., the decay rate of the failure probability Err_t.
Approach
Guided by diffusion and discrete toy models of the estimated loss gap, construct a Lyapunov function g_t (quadratic on the positive side, exponential on the negative side) whose expectation is bounded and is a supermartingale-like quantity, yielding polynomial failure bounds for the unmodified IW estimator.
Key results
- Upper bound: for eta_t=alpha/sqrt(t), Err_t <= C t^{-q} for any q < 2 - alpha^2 mu_{i*}/4, i.e., rate t^{-2+alpha^2 mu_{i*}/4+rho}.
- Lower bound: Err_t >= C' t^{-2-eps} for any eps>0 under 0<alpha<1 and mu_{i*}>0, so exponent 2 is essentially tight (approached as alpha->0).
Surprising findings
- The upper-bound exponent depends on alpha so that smaller learning-rate constants give faster decay approaching t^{-2}, the opposite of intuition about learning rates.
Limitations
- Lower bound does not capture dependence on alpha, so the upper bound is not fully matched.
- Analysis restricted to stochastic bandits with a unique optimal arm and 1/2-Tsallis regularizer; extension to general theta-Tsallis is only conjectured.
- Toy-model derivation is heuristic; constants depend heavily on d and Delta (d^{3q} log^{2q} d / Delta^{4q}).
Experimental setup
Metrics: failure probability Err_t decay exponent
Builds on: Tsallis-INF best-of-both-worlds FTRL UCB
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