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Video-Mirai: Autoregressive Video Diffusion Models Need Foresight
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Video-Mirai adds a training-only foresight loss that aligns a causal video diffusion generator's mid-depth hidden states to a frozen bidirectional encoder's features of its own future rollout, improving Causal-Forcing on VBench without changing inference.
Problem
Autoregressive streaming video diffusion is trained with present-segment losses that do not constrain whether causal hidden states retain identity, layout, and motion needed for future segments, causing long-horizon inconsistency.
Approach
Use future frames only as stopped-gradient supervision: a frozen Wan-14B encoder reads the completed causal rollout non-causally, and a discarded 3-block DiT predictor aligns the causal generator's layer-15 hidden states to the fused future encoder features (cosine loss), so the deployed model stays strictly causal.
Key results
- On 5-second VBench, Video-Mirai raises chunk-wise Causal-Forcing Total Score from 83.82 to 84.62 (Quality 84.54 to 85.38).
- On 30-second rollouts, subject consistency improves from 84.93 to 88.47 and background consistency from 90.22 to 91.94 over chunk-wise Causal-Forcing.
- Paired prompt-level bootstrap shows gains on Quality, Semantic, and Total scores with 95% CIs excluding zero; per-cycle training overhead measured at 13.7% with no inference overhead.
Surprising findings
- Fusing future encoder targets across offsets outperforms averaging per-offset losses, and MSE or SIGReg regularization degrades results versus plain cosine loss.
- Applying foresight at Stage 2 (ODE) and Stage 3 (DMD) together collapses to a smaller gain (Total 84.05) than either stage alone.
Limitations
- Foresight window is small (at most one chunk ahead, about 3 latent frames); extending to two segments degrades Quality.
- Gains at 5 seconds are modest (Total +0.8), and no multi-seed training variance is reported due to cost.
- Requires a large bidirectional Wan-14B encoder during training, adding roughly 14% training compute per cycle.
Experimental setup
Datasets: VidProM MovieGen prompts
Benchmarks: VBench MovieGen prompts 30-second rollouts
Metrics: Quality Score Semantic Score Total Score subject consistency background consistency overall consistency PSNR MSE LPIPS throughput (FPS)
Baselines: Causal-Forcing Self-Forcing CausVid Wan2.1 LTX-Video SkyReels-V2 MAGI-1 Pyramid Flow NOVA Rolling-Forcing
Builds on: Causal-Forcing Self-Forcing Distribution Matching Distillation REPA V-JEPA Mirai
Closest papers by meaning
- RAVEN: Real-time Autoregressive Video Extrapolation with Consistency-model GRPO (NeurIPS 2026 · similarity 0.91)
- AR-Diffusion: Asynchronous Video Generation with Auto-Regressive Diffusion (CVPR 2025 · similarity 0.90)
- Self Forcing: Bridging the Train-Test Gap in Autoregressive Video Diffusion (NeurIPS 2025 · similarity 0.89)
- Generative Pre-trained Autoregressive Diffusion Transformer (NeurIPS 2025 · similarity 0.89)
- Ca2-VDM: Efficient Autoregressive Video Diffusion Model with Causal Generation and Cache Sharing (ICML 2025 · similarity 0.88)
- From Slow Bidirectional to Fast Autoregressive Video Diffusion Models (CVPR 2025 · similarity 0.88)
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