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Offloading Score: Measuring AI Reliance through Counterfactual Workflows
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Introduces offloading score, a simulation-based reliance metric that measures the fraction of workflow steps saved by AI tool use relative to LLM-generated human-only counterfactual workflows, and validates it in a 40-participant coding study under time pressure.
Problem
Existing reliance measures rely on binary output adoption or self-reports and fail to capture how task effort is distributed between user and AI tool in multi-turn human-AI workflows.
Approach
Replace each AI-assisted workflow step with an LLM-simulated human-only counterfactual sequence and score reliance as the fraction of counterfactual steps saved by the tool, plus descriptive process and output-use labels.
Key results
- Offloading score is higher in the short-time condition (0.451 vs 0.308, p=0.018), while baseline measures such as code attribution (p=0.072) and NASA-TLX load (p=0.881) do not significantly separate conditions.
- Over 85% of sampled counterfactual steps were rated plausible (>=3 on 5-point Likert scale) by human judges.
- Among non-outlier users, offloading score correlates with system recall at r=-0.440; overall correlation is -0.145.
Surprising findings
- Usage-based and self-reported baselines, including NASA-TLX load, fail to distinguish time-pressure conditions that the offloading score separates.
- A cluster of high-offloading, high-recall users appears to use the tool for learning, suggesting high reliance can be appropriate in some contexts.
Limitations
- Validated against only a single reference variable (time pressure) with 40 participants on programming tasks.
- Counterfactuals estimate an average user rather than personalized behavior and depend on imperfect workflow induction.
- Assumes cognitive effort can be approximated by externally observable workflow steps.
Experimental setup
Datasets: user study traces from 40 freelance developers prior human and agent software engineering workflow dataset
Benchmarks: controlled user study (short 1h vs long 4h time limits)
Metrics: offloading score t-test p-value Pearson correlation with condition system recall correlation Wilcoxon and permutation test on counterfactual similarity annotation agreement
Baselines: fraction of AI-attributed code number of AI interactions fraction of time using tool NASA-TLX cognitive load
Builds on: Flower and Hayes cognitive process model workflow induction toolkit
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