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Huxley-G\"odel Machine: Human-Level Coding Agent Development by an Approximation of the Optimal Self-Improving Machine
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Proposes the Huxley-Gödel Machine, which estimates clade-level metaproductivity (CMP) and uses Thompson sampling with decoupled, asynchronous expansion/evaluation to guide self-modifying coding agent search, outperforming DGM and SICA on SWE-bench and Polyglot.
Problem
Self-improving coding agents select self-modifications by benchmark score, which is a poor proxy for an agent's long-term ability to produce further improvements (the Metaproductivity-Performance Mismatch), and existing methods are costly in compute.
Approach
Defines clade-level metaproductivity (CMP), aggregating success counts over an agent's descendants, shows a CMP oracle suffices to imitate the Gödel Machine's acceptance mechanism in this setting, and approximates CMP with a Beta-posterior clade estimator guiding Thompson-sampling expansion, with evaluation decoupled from expansion and run asynchronously.
Key results
- On SWE-Verified-60, HGM's best-belief agent reaches 56.7% vs 53.3% for DGM and 50.0% for SICA, using 517 CPU-hours vs 1231 for DGM.
- Optimized on full SWE-Verified with GPT-5-mini, HGM's agent reaches 61.4%, and on SWE-Lite with GPT-5 it scores 57% standard, matching the top checked leaderboard entry (SWE-agent 56.7%).
- The weighted Pearson correlation between the CMP estimator and empirical CMP is 0.778 on SWE-Verified-60 versus 0.444 for SICA and 0.285 for DGM.
Surprising findings
- Benchmark score is an unreliable predictor of an agent's descendants' productivity, so high-scoring agents can seed stagnant lineages.
- SICA encountered repeated context-window errors after consuming part of its budget, halting further self-modification.
Limitations
- Theoretical equivalence to the Gödel Machine holds only under strong assumptions (repeatable trials, zero proof cost, known budget, only final agent utility).
- Leaderboard performance may reflect overfitting to benchmarks, as acknowledged by the authors.
Experimental setup
Datasets: SWE-bench Verified SWE-bench Lite Polyglot
Benchmarks: SWE-bench Verified SWE-bench Lite Polyglot
Metrics: accuracy Pearson correlation allocated CPU-hours
Baselines: DGM SICA SWE-agent SWE-agent + GPT-5-mini
Builds on: Gödel Machine Darwin Gödel Machine Self-Improving Coding Agent UCB-Air
Closest papers by meaning
- EvoCodeBench: Evaluating Coding Agents in Multi-Turn Iterative Interactions (NeurIPS 2026 · similarity 0.89)
- SlopCodeBench: Benchmarking How Coding Agents Degrade Over Long-Horizon Iterative Tasks (NeurIPS 2026 · similarity 0.88)
- Meta$^n$: Recursive Self-Improvement through Emergent Depth (NeurIPS 2026 · similarity 0.88)
- Frontier Coding Agents Use Metaprogramming to Adapt to Unfamiliar Programming Languages (NeurIPS 2026 · similarity 0.87)
- CATArena: Evaluating Evolutionary Capabilities of Code Agents via Iterative Tournaments (ICML 2026 · similarity 0.87)
- From Reproduction to Replication: Evaluating Research Agents with Progressive Code Masking (ICLR 2026 · similarity 0.86)
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