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Scaling Up, Speeding Up: A Benchmark of Speculative Decoding for Efficient LLM Test-Time Scaling
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Benchmarks nine speculative decoding methods (model-based, training-based, n-gram-based, and hybrid) on Qwen3 and DeepSeek-R1-Distill-Llama 8B under Best-of-N and multi-round thinking for test-time scaling, finding n-gram methods like SAM strong and hybrid SAM[EAGLE-3] best overall.
Problem
Speculative decoding is well studied for generic single-pass generation, but its efficacy for the repetition-rich, long-reasoning workloads of LLM test-time scaling (Best-of-N and multi-round thinking) has not been systematically compared.
Approach
Provides a head-to-head benchmark under consistent test-time scaling protocols, comparing training-free n-gram drafters (especially suffix-automaton SAM) against trained draft models (EAGLE-3, SpS) and a hybrid that switches between SAM and EAGLE-3, and analyzes how speedups evolve across turns and temperatures.
Key results
- Under multi-turn thinking at T=0 on Qwen3-8B, hybrid SAM[EAGLE-3] reaches 3.97x overall speedup, versus 2.91x for EAGLE-3 and 2.28x for SAM.
- SAM speedup on Qwen3-8B drops about 22% (2.28x to 1.78x) when temperature rises from 0 to 0.6, showing sensitivity of n-gram methods to temperature.
- Recycling achieves the highest MAT among n-gram methods (about 2.9-3.0) and is least temperature-sensitive, but its draft overhead limits speedup (about 2.1x).
Surprising findings
- SpS achieves the highest acceptance length (MAT about 7) yet yields speedups below 1x on Qwen3-8B because the 0.6B draft model's cost offsets its gains.
- REST performs poorly (about 1.0x speedup) likely because its external chat datastore overlaps little with long chain-of-thought traces.
Limitations
- Evaluation uses only 120 problems (30 each from AIME24, AIME25, MATH-500, GPQA), a small suite.
- Only 8B-class (plus 4B/14B for Qwen3) models and two test-time scaling frameworks are covered; hybrid strategy is a simple heuristic.
- EAGLE-3 draft models come from third-party teams, so training quality confounds comparisons.
Experimental setup
Datasets: AIME 2024 AIME 2025 MATH-500 GPQA
Benchmarks: AIME 2024 AIME 2025 MATH-500 GPQA
Metrics: Mean Accepted Tokens (MAT) walltime speedup ratio
Baselines: SpS EAGLE-3 PLD REST Lookahead PIA SAM Recycling
Builds on: EAGLE-3 speculative sampling prompt lookup decoding Lookahead decoding Recycling
Closest papers by meaning
- SPEED-Bench: A Unified and Diverse Benchmark for Speculative Decoding (ICML 2026 · similarity 0.94)
- Reward-Guided Speculative Decoding for Efficient LLM Reasoning (ICML 2025 · similarity 0.93)
- ATTS: Asynchronous Test-Time Scaling via Conformal Prediction (ICLR 2026 · similarity 0.93)
- RAPID: Long-Context Inference with Retrieval-Augmented Speculative Decoding (ICML 2025 · similarity 0.92)
- SWIFT: On-the-Fly Self-Speculative Decoding for LLM Inference Acceleration (ICLR 2025 · similarity 0.92)
- A Theoretical Perspective for Speculative Decoding Algorithm (NeurIPS 2024 · similarity 0.92)
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