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Optimizing importance weighting in the presence of sub-population shifts
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Proposes optimizing importance weights via a bi-level procedure that accounts for finite-sample variance, and applies it to last-layer retraining for sub-population shifts, improving GW-ERM, SUBG, DFR, GDRO and JTT.
Problem
Heuristic importance weights (e.g., likelihood ratios for group-weighted ERM) are suboptimal under finite training samples because they inflate estimator variance, hurting generalization under sub-population shift.
Approach
Treat importance weights as hyperparameters chosen to minimize a validation loss in a bi-level optimization (weights and model parameters optimized jointly), with hyper-gradients computed via the implicit function theorem; the bias-variance trade-off is shown analytically for linear regression.
Key results
- Optimized weights improved the targeted objective in 12 of 15 method-dataset cases at 10% significance, with a maximum gain of 5.61%.
- Optimizing weights improved the non-targeted metric in many cases, with more than 1% gains in 10 cases (maximum 4.03%).
- Benefit of optimized weights is largest when the minority groups or total sample size are small (e.g., Waterbirds, CelebA subsampled to around 10%).
Measured effects reported in the paper
| What was changed | Where | Measured | Effect |
|---|---|---|---|
| optimize group weights instead of using each method's standard weights | GW-ERM, SUBG, DFR, GDRO, and JTT · Waterbirds, CelebA, and MultiNLI | method objective accuracy: maximum of 5.61% | Helped |
| optimize group weights instead of using standard weights | GW-ERM, SUBG, DFR, GDRO, and JTT · Waterbirds, CelebA, and MultiNLI | non-objective accuracy: maximum of 4.03% | Mixed |
| optimize group weights instead of using grid-searched standard weights | JTT · CelebA | worst-group accuracy | No clear effect |
| optimize group weights instead of standard weights | GW-ERM · CelebA, using fractions of the original training and validation data | weighted average accuracy: 10%; 5% | Mixed |
| optimize group weights instead of standard weights | GW-ERM · Waterbirds | weighted average accuracy | Helped |
| optimize group weights instead of standard weights | GW-ERM · Waterbirds | worst-group accuracy | Helped |
Surprising findings
- Optimized weights often also improved the metric they were not optimized for, e.g., worst-group accuracy for GW-ERM, SUBG and DFR, although weighted average accuracy and group robustness are often opposed.
Limitations
- JTT on CelebA did not improve even on validation set, suggesting the bi-level procedure failed to find better weights there.
- No formal convergence guarantees; the weight optimization may be non-convex.
- Hyper-gradient computation requires refitting the model and inverting Hessians, which is costly for full network retraining.
Experimental setup
Datasets: Waterbirds CelebA MultiNLI
Benchmarks: Waterbirds CelebA MultiNLI
Metrics: weighted average accuracy worst-group accuracy
Baselines: GW-ERM SUBG DFR GDRO JTT
Builds on: group-weighted empirical risk minimization subsampling large groups group distributionally robust optimization Just Train Twice deep feature reweighting
Closest papers by meaning
- Thumb on the Scale: Optimal Loss Weighting in Last Layer Retraining (NeurIPS 2025 · similarity 0.87)
- Gradient-Weight Alignment as a Train-Time Proxy for Generalization in Classification Tasks (NeurIPS 2025 · similarity 0.86)
- Variable Importance in High-Dimensional Settings Requires Grouping (AAAI 2024 · similarity 0.85)
- Pay Attention to Small Weights (NeurIPS 2025 · similarity 0.85)
- Initializing Models with Larger Ones (ICLR 2024 · similarity 0.85)
- Exploring Criteria of Loss Reweighting to Enhance LLM Unlearning (ICML 2025 · similarity 0.85)
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