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Modeling Neural Activity with Conditionally Linear Dynamical Systems

NeurIPS 2025 · Probabilistic and scientific modeling › Dynamical systems · approach: Switching and law-discovery dynamics · 0 citations (OpenAlex)

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Proposes Conditionally Linear Dynamical Systems (CLDS), an LDS whose parameters vary as GP-prior functions of observed task/behavioral covariates, enabling closed-form EM inference under Gaussian noise.

Problem

Modeling nonlinear neural population dynamics that vary with observed task and behavioral conditions, especially in data-limited regimes with few trials per condition.

Approach

Place approximate GP priors (Fourier/basis-function expansions) on the parameters (A, b, C, d, m) of a linear dynamical system as functions of observed conditions, so the system is linear conditioned on covariates; MAP inference reduces to Bayesian linear regression in an expanded feature space, giving closed-form EM with Kalman smoothing.

Key results

Measured effects reported in the paper

What was changedWhereMeasuredEffect
Use CLDS instead of the compared baselinesMacaque center-out reaching task · Macaque center-out reaching task, especially 1 training trial per reach angleco-smoothing R²Helped
Increase the number of training trials per reach anglegpSLDS · Macaque center-out reaching taskco-smoothing R²Helped
Use LFADS instead of CLDS in the low-data regimeMacaque center-out reaching task · Macaque center-out reaching taskco-smoothing R²Hurt
Fit CLDS to the synthetic head-direction ring attractorCLDS · Synthetic head-direction ring attractor test setco-smoothing R²: R² = 0.86Helped

Limitations

Experimental setup

Datasets: synthetic head-direction ring attractor synthetic neural circuit ring attractor model mouse ADn head-direction recordings (Peyrache et al.) macaque PMd center-out reaching recordings

Benchmarks: co-smoothing on mouse ADn recordings co-smoothing on macaque PMd reaching data

Metrics: co-smoothing R^2 parameter recovery reconstruction accuracy

Baselines: LDS gpSLDS LFADS

Builds on: Gaussian Process Factor Analysis gpSLDS recurrent SLDS LFADS Wishart process models

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