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ESCORT: Efficient Stein-variational and Sliced Consistency-Optimized Temporal Belief Representation for POMDPs

NeurIPS 2025 · Probabilistic and scientific modeling › Molecules and proteins · approach: Prediction-powered and conformal inference · 0 citations (OpenAlex)

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Proposes ESCORT, a particle-based POMDP belief representation that extends SVGD with correlation-aware sliced/projection regularization and a temporal consistency term, evaluated on POMDP domains and synthetic multi-modal distributions.

Problem

Existing POMDP belief approximators (particle filters with resampling, parametric neural/VAE beliefs, standard SVGD) fail to represent high-dimensional, multi-modal belief distributions with correlated state dimensions, leading to degraded decisions.

Approach

Extends SVGD with a correlation-aware projection regularizer (learned projection matrices, GSW-inspired) that preserves inter-dimensional dependencies, plus a temporal consistency term (sliced Wasserstein between consecutive beliefs) and a particle-based policy network trained by policy gradient.

Key results

Measured effects reported in the paper

What was changedWhereMeasuredEffect
add correlation-aware regularization (ablation)ESCORT · Light-Dark Navigation (10D)position error: 0.381 $\pm$ 0.07 -> 0.347 $\pm$ 0.03Helped
add correlation-aware regularization (ablation)ESCORT · Kidnapped Robot (20D)position error: 10.246 $\pm$ 0.35 -> 9.063 $\pm$ 0.51Helped
add correlation-aware regularization (ablation)ESCORT · Target Tracking (20D)position error: 4.213 $\pm$ 0.59 -> 3.665 $\pm$ 0.31Helped
add temporal consistency regularization (ablation)ESCORT · Light-Dark Navigation (10D)position error: 0.321 $\pm$ 0.03 -> 0.347 $\pm$ 0.03Hurt
add temporal consistency regularization (ablation)ESCORT · Kidnapped Robot (20D)position error: 10.859 $\pm$ 0.51 -> 9.063 $\pm$ 0.51Helped
add temporal consistency regularization (ablation)ESCORT · Target Tracking (20D)position error: 3.874 $\pm$ 0.43 -> 3.665 $\pm$ 0.31Helped
use optimized rather than random projection matrices (ablation)ESCORT · Light-Dark Navigation (10D)position error: 0.359 $\pm$ 0.09 -> 0.347 $\pm$ 0.03Helped
use optimized rather than random projection matrices (ablation)ESCORT · Kidnapped Robot (20D)position error: 9.654 $\pm$ 0.32 -> 9.063 $\pm$ 0.51Helped
use optimized rather than random projection matrices (ablation)ESCORT · Target Tracking (20D)position error: 3.90 $\pm$ 0.42 -> 3.665 $\pm$ 0.31Helped
use ESCORT instead of SVGDbelief approximation · Synthetic 1DMaximum Mean Discrepancy: 0.012 $\pm$ 0.01 -> 0.057 $\pm$ 0.01Hurt
use ESCORT instead of SVGDbelief approximation · Synthetic 2DMaximum Mean Discrepancy: 0.062 $\pm$ 0.01 -> 0.052 $\pm$ 0.02Helped
use ESCORT instead of SVGDbelief approximation · Synthetic 20DMode Coverage: 1.0 $\pm$ 0.0 -> 1.0 $\pm$ 0.0No clear effect

Surprising findings

Limitations

Experimental setup

Datasets: Light-Dark Navigation Kidnapped Robot Multi-Target Tracking synthetic multi-modal distributions (1D-20D)

Benchmarks: Light-Dark Navigation Kidnapped Robot Multi-Target Tracking synthetic multi-modal distributions 1D-20D

Metrics: average position error maximum mean discrepancy Wasserstein sliced Wasserstein mode coverage ratio correlation error

Baselines: SVGD DVRL POMCPOW SIR POMCP ARDESPOT AdaOPS

Builds on: Stein Variational Gradient Descent Generalized Sliced Wasserstein distance Message Passing SVGD Deep Variational Reinforcement Learning POMCPOW

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