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Learning to Route: Per-Sample Adaptive Routing for Multimodal Multitask Prediction

NeurIPS 2025 · Vision-language and multimodal › Cross-modal learning · approach: Multimodal fusion with missing modalities · 1 citations (OpenAlex)

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Proposes a per-sample probabilistic expert-routing framework that selects among text/numeric modality paths and STL/MTL heads for depression and anxiety prediction, evaluated on synthetic data and a psychotherapy notes dataset.

Problem

Multimodal multitask prediction where modality informativeness and task correlation vary across samples; fixed fusion and globally shared multitask architectures are suboptimal, with psychotherapy outcome prediction (PHQ-9, GAD-7) as the motivating application.

Approach

A two-stage soft/hard router first picks among four modality paths (text-only, numeric-only, textualized-numeric+text, numeric+text-embedding) and then picks STL or MTL heads per sample, mixing the eight resulting experts trained end-to-end with heteroscedastic losses.

Key results

Measured effects reported in the paper

What was changedWhereMeasuredEffect
Use T2 (textualized numeric features fused with notes) instead of T1 (text-only)Fixed-path STL models · Psychotherapy data, PHQ-9RMSE: 4.60 -> 3.66Helped
Use T2 (textualized numeric features fused with notes) instead of T1 (text-only)Fixed-path STL models · Psychotherapy data, GAD-7RMSE: 4.10 -> 3.42Helped
Add heteroscedastic loss to shared-encoder MTL (ablation)MTL (Shared encoder) · Psychotherapy data, PHQ-9RMSE: 4.12 -> 3.85Helped
Add heteroscedastic loss to shared-encoder MTL (ablation)MTL (Shared encoder) · Psychotherapy data, GAD-7RMSE: 3.78 -> 3.52Helped
Use learned soft routing instead of independent STLPsychotherapy prediction model · Psychotherapy data, PHQ-9RMSE: 4.28 -> 3.62Helped
Use learned soft routing instead of independent STLPsychotherapy prediction model · Psychotherapy data, GAD-7RMSE: 3.95 -> 3.34Helped
Use T2 instead of N2Fixed-path STL models · Psychotherapy data, PHQ-9RMSE: 3.80 -> 3.66Helped
Use T2 instead of N2Fixed-path STL models · Psychotherapy data, GAD-7RMSE: 3.58 -> 3.42Helped

Surprising findings

Limitations

Experimental setup

Datasets: Synthetic multitask regression benchmark Mental Health in Healthcare Workers psychotherapy dataset (N=534, augmented with synthetic records)

Benchmarks: Synthetic multitask regression benchmark Mental Health in Healthcare Workers psychotherapy dataset

Metrics: RMSE

Baselines: T1 text-only N1 numerical-only T2 textualized numeric + text N2 numerical + embedded text STL independent MTL shared encoder Heteroscedastic MTL

Builds on: Mixture-of-Experts Multi-gate Mixture-of-Experts (MMoE) Gumbel-Softmax Sentence-BERT BERT

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