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Probabilistic Stability Guarantees for Feature Attributions

NeurIPS 2025 · Learning theory and algorithms › Prediction and decision losses · approach: Provable post-hoc explanations · 0 citations (OpenAlex)

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Introduces soft stability (stability rate under random additive feature perturbations) and a model-agnostic sampling certifier (SCA) that certifies hard and soft stability, plus a Boolean-analysis account of why mild MuS random-masking smoothing can help.

Problem

Certifying the robustness of feature attributions to adding features is hard: existing hard-stability certificates (MuS) rely on heavily smoothed classifiers and give conservative, quickly vacuous guarantees.

Approach

Relax hard stability to a probabilistic stability rate estimated by uniform sampling of additive perturbations (SCA), with Hoeffding-based guarantees and no smoothing required; analyze smoothing via the monotone (unanimity) Boolean basis, where random masking contracts each coefficient by lambda^|T|.

Key results

Measured effects reported in the paper

What was changedWhereMeasuredEffect
use SCA instead of MuS for stability certificationFeature attribution stability certification · Vision and language tasksstability guarantee strengthHelped
use LIME or SHAP instead of gradient-based attribution methodsVision models · ImageNet subsetstability rateHelped
use feature attribution methods instead of random attributionVision models · ImageNet subsetstability rateHelped
compare explanation methods on RoBERTaRoBERTa · TweetEval subsetsstability rateNo clear effect
apply mild random-mask smoothing (λ ≥ 0.5)Vision and language classifiers · ImageNet subset and TweetEvalstability rateHelped
apply mild random-mask smoothing (λ ≥ 0.5)Vision and language classifiers · ImageNet subset and TweetEvalaccuracyHurt
decrease the MuS smoothing parameter λMuS-smoothed classifiers · Vision and language tasksMuS stability guarantee strengthHelped
decrease the MuS smoothing parameter λMuS-smoothed classifiers · Vision and language tasksaccuracyHurt
use mild smoothing rather than heavy smoothingViT and RoBERTa · ImageNet subset and TweetEvalaccuracyHelped

Surprising findings

Limitations

Experimental setup

Datasets: ImageNet (2000-image subset) TweetEval (emoji, emotion, hate, irony, offensive, sentiment)

Benchmarks: ImageNet subset TweetEval

Metrics: stability rate accuracy certified radius

Baselines: MuS LIME SHAP Integrated Gradients MFABA random attribution

Builds on: MuS random masking smoothing Hoeffding inequality LIME SHAP

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