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Simultaneous Modeling of Protein Conformation and Dynamics via Autoregression

NeurIPS 2025 · Probabilistic and scientific modeling › Molecules and proteins · approach: Generative protein structure design · 0 citations (OpenAlex)

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Proposes ConfRover, an autoregressive model that encodes each MD frame with a frozen OpenFold encoder, models temporal dependencies with a Llama-style causal transformer, and decodes each frame with an SE(3) diffusion head, unifying trajectory simulation, time-independent sampling, and conformation interpolation.

Problem

Existing generative models for protein MD either ignore temporal dependencies between conformations or cannot directly sample time-independent conformations, and no single model handles trajectory simulation, ensemble sampling, and transition interpolation.

Approach

Factorize an MD trajectory as an autoregressive product over frames, encode frames into latents with a shared encoder, model inter-frame dependencies with a causal transformer in latent space, and generate each continuous conformation with an SE(3) diffusion decoder trained by denoising score matching; masking all context frames gives time-independent sampling and reordering frames gives interpola

Key results

Measured effects reported in the paper

What was changedWhereMeasuredEffect
Use autoregressive ConfRover instead of MDGenProtein trajectory simulation · Multi-startCα trajectory correlation: 0.56 ± 0.03 -> 0.75 ± 0.01Helped
Use autoregressive ConfRover instead of MDGenProtein trajectory simulation · Multi-startPCA 2D trajectory correlation: 0.18 ± 0.01 -> 0.73 ± 0.01Helped
Use autoregressive ConfRover instead of MDGenProtein trajectory simulation · 100 ns simulationJSD: 0.56 ± 0.01 -> 0.51 ± 0.01Helped
Use autoregressive ConfRover instead of MDGenProtein trajectory simulation · 100 ns simulationRecall: 0.29 ± 0.01 -> 0.42 ± 0.00Helped
Use autoregressive ConfRover instead of MDGenProtein trajectory simulation · 100 ns simulationF1: 0.42 ± 0.01 -> 0.58 ± 0.00Helped
Use ConfRover rather than specialized ensemble-generation baselinesTime-independent conformation sampling · Time-independent generationPer target RMSF r: 0.85 ± 0.01 -> 0.85 ± 0.00No clear effect
Remove the single-frame objective (ablation)ConfRover · Time-independent generationMD PCA W2: 1.47 ± 0.03 -> 1.43 ± 0.01No clear effect
Remove the single-frame objective (ablation)ConfRover · Time-independent generationPairwise RMSD r: 0.51 ± 0.01 -> 0.48 ± 0.00Hurt
Remove the single-frame objective (ablation)ConfRover · Time-independent generationPer target RMSF r: 0.85 ± 0.00 -> 0.84 ± 0.01Hurt
Train with an interpolation objective and reorder conditioning frames (ablation)ConfRover · Conformation interpolationDirected transition toward the end stateHelped
Continue training with the interpolation objective (ablation)ConfRover · Conformation qualityMolProbity score: 1.72 ± 0.38 -> 1.61 ± 0.51Helped

Limitations

Experimental setup

Datasets: ATLAS

Benchmarks: ATLAS

Metrics: Pearson correlation JSD recall F1 pairwise RMSD r RMSF r RMWD PCA W2 weak/transient/exposed contact J Ramachandran outliers

Baselines: MDGen AlphaFlow ConfDiff

Builds on: AlphaFlow ConfDiff MDGen OpenFold Llama

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