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Exploiting the Asymmetric Uncertainty Structure of Pre-trained VLMs on the Unit Hypersphere

NeurIPS 2025 · Vision-language and multimodal › CLIP and zero-shot · approach: Test-time adaptation of VLMs · 0 citations (OpenAlex)

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Proposes AsymVLM, a post-hoc probabilistic adapter that models only text embeddings as vMF or power-spherical distributions on the unit hypersphere while keeping image embeddings deterministic, trained with an InfoNCE objective over spherical log-likelihoods.

Problem

Post-hoc probabilistic adaptation of deterministic pretrained VLMs (CLIP, SigLIP) ignores the asymmetric uncertainty between text and images and the fact that embeddings lie on the unit hypersphere, leading to suboptimal uncertainty estimates and retrieval.

Approach

Treat text embeddings as random variables on the unit sphere (vMF or power spherical), keep image embeddings deterministic, and optimize a symmetric-in-batch InfoNCE over the spherical log-likelihood matrix; this generalizes the CLIP cosine-similarity loss with a concentration term that yields a per-text uncertainty 1/kappa.

Key results

Measured effects reported in the paper

What was changedWhereMeasuredEffect
Use asymmetric text-probabilistic, image-deterministic adaptation with vMF distributionsCLIP ViT-B/32 · MS-COCO, Flickr-30k, and CC-200k cross-modal retrievalRecall@1Helped
Replace vMF with power spherical distributionsAsymVLM · MS-COCO, Flickr-30k, and CC-200k retrievalRecall@1No clear effect
Fine-tune with AsymVLM rather than deterministic fine-tuningCLIP ViT-B/32 fine-tuned on MS-COCO · CIFAR-10 zero-shot classificationaccuracy: 0.684 -> 0.847Helped
Fine-tune with AsymVLM rather than deterministic fine-tuningCLIP ViT-B/32 fine-tuned on MS-COCO · ImageNet-1k zero-shot classificationaccuracy: 0.395 -> 0.507Helped
Add dummy prompt 'a photo' for none-of-the-above classificationAsymVLM vMF · CIFAR-100 negative samplesnegative accuracy: 0.009 -> 0.587Helped
Model uncertainty in image embeddings instead of text embeddings (ablation)AsymVLM · CC-200k validation retrievalRecall@1Hurt
Use symmetric probabilistic adapters for both modalities (ablation)AsymVLM · CC-200k validation retrievalRecall@1Hurt
Use symmetric probabilistic adapters for both modalities (ablation)AsymVLM · CC-200k validation uncertainty quantificationRecall@1 across uncertainty levelsHurt
Replace the spherical text distribution with a normalized Gaussian distribution (ablation)AsymVLM · CC-200k validation retrievalRecall@1Hurt
Replace the spherical text distribution with a normalized Gaussian distribution (ablation)AsymVLM · CC-200k validation uncertainty quantificationRecall@1 trend as uncertainty increasesNo clear effect

Surprising findings

Limitations

Experimental setup

Datasets: MS-COCO Flickr-30k Conceptual Captions (CC-200k subset) HierarCap CIFAR-10 CIFAR-100 STL-10 ImageNet-1k

Benchmarks: MS-COCO Flickr-30k CC-200k HierarCap CIFAR-10 CIFAR-100 STL-10 ImageNet-1k

Metrics: Recall@1 R^2 between uncertainty and retrieval error Spearman rank correlation zero-shot accuracy positive and negative accuracy

Baselines: PFE* PCME++* BayesVLM ProbVLM ProLIP Determ. FT

Builds on: CLIP ProbVLM BayesVLM PCME++ ProLIP

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