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Distributional Training Data Attribution: What do Influence Functions Sample?

NeurIPS 2025 · Learning theory and algorithms › Prediction and decision losses · approach: Distributionally robust optimization · 0 citations (OpenAlex)

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Introduces distributional training data attribution (d-TDA), predicting how the distribution of trained-model outputs changes under dataset edits, and shows influence functions arise as limits of unrolled differentiation and optimal transport maps between Boltzmann distributions.

Problem

Classical training data attribution assumes deterministic training, ignoring stochasticity from initialisation and batching, so it cannot separate effects of dataset changes from sampling randomness.

Approach

Frame TDA as predicting changes in the distribution over trained models (distributional influence), and show that influence functions are asymptotic samples of unrolled differentiation under SGD with local-minimum convergence and a KL-optimal transport map for low-temperature Boltzmann distributions, without convexity assumptions.

Key results

Measured effects reported in the paper

What was changedWhereMeasuredEffect
Use distributional influence for data pruning instead of fixed-seed influenceSWIN Vision Transformer · CIFAR-10test accuracyHelped
Train longerUnrolled differentiation response compared with influence functions · UCI Concretecorrelation: 90%Helped
Use a lower step sizeUnrolled differentiation compared with influence functions · UCI ConcretecorrelationHelped
Evaluate attribution distributionally rather than with fixed-seed TDAInfluence functions · CIFAR-10test accuracyHelped
Use Wasserstein influence instead of mean influence to identify influential examplesDistributional influence · Synthetic 1D regressionvariance after removing an exampleHelped
Use unrolled differentiation to predict leave-one-out retraining distributionsUnrolled differentiation · Leave-one-out retrainingcorrelation of empirical meansHelped

Surprising findings

Limitations

Experimental setup

Datasets: CIFAR-10 UCI Concrete ArtBench-10 MNIST

Benchmarks: CIFAR-10 ArtBench-10 UCI Concrete

Metrics: test accuracy validation loss Wasserstein distance Spearman correlation (distributional LDS) Pearson correlation of mean changes

Baselines: influence functions (fixed-seed TDA) mean influence approximate unrolled differentiation

Builds on: influence functions unrolled differentiation linear datamodelling score

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