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Channel Matters: Estimating Channel Influence for Multivariate Time Series

NeurIPS 2025 · Time series › Anomaly detection · approach: Multivariate anomaly detection · 0 citations (OpenAlex)

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Proposes Channel-wise Influence (ChInf), a TracIn-based per-channel influence matrix for multivariate time series, and applies it to unsupervised MTS anomaly detection and channel pruning for forecasting.

Problem

Existing influence functions treat a whole multivariate time series sample as one unit and cannot distinguish the influence of individual channels, so they perform poorly on MTS anomaly detection and data pruning.

Approach

Decompose the TracIn first-order influence into a sum over channel pairs, yielding a channel-wise influence matrix whose diagonal (self-influence per channel) serves as an anomaly score and whose ranking enables selecting representative channels for pruning.

Key results

Measured effects reported in the paper

What was changedWhereMeasuredEffect
Apply ChInf instead of the base anomaly detector's original scoring methodInverted Transformer · SWaTF1: 83.7 -> 84.0Helped
Apply ChInf instead of the base anomaly detector's original scoring methodInverted Transformer · SMDF1: 55.9 -> 59.1Helped
Apply ChInf instead of the base anomaly detector's original scoring method1-Layer GCN-LSTM · SMAPF1: 42.6 -> 48.0Helped
Apply ChInf instead of the base anomaly detector's original scoring method1-Layer GCN-LSTM · MSLF1: 46.3 -> 47.1Helped
Apply ChInf instead of the base anomaly detector's original scoring methodInverted Transformer · WADIF1: 48.8 -> 50.5Helped
Replace reconstruction error with ChInf (ablation)Single Transformer block · SMDF1: 48.9 -> 52.1Helped
Replace reconstruction error with ChInf (ablation)Single block MLPMixer · SMAPF1: 36.3 -> 48.0Helped
Use equidistant sampling from the ChInf ranking instead of selecting the most self-influential channels (ablation)iTransformer · Electricity, 5% channels retainedMSE: 0.360 -> 0.187Helped
Select channels using ChInf rather than continuous channel selectioniTransformer · ETTh1, 3 channels retainedMSE: 0.502 -> 0.403Helped
Use channel pruning rather than sample-wise pruningMTS forecasting · Electricity, Solar Energy, and TrafficMSEHelped
Use original TracIn rather than ChInf for anomaly detection (ablation)MTS anomaly detection · SMAP and SMDF1Hurt
Increase the number of model parameters used to calculate influence (ablation)GCN-LSTM anomaly detection · Different anomaly detection datasetsF1No clear effect

Surprising findings

Limitations

Experimental setup

Datasets: SWaT WADI SMD SMAP MSL Electricity Solar-Energy Traffic ETTh1 ETTm1

Benchmarks: SWaT SMD SMAP MSL WADI Electricity Solar-Energy Traffic

Metrics: F1 precision recall MSE

Baselines: DAGMM OmniAnomaly USAD GDN TranAD AnomalyTransformer PCA ERROR TimeInf LIME selection SHAP selection NFS selection MoSo

Builds on: influence functions TracIn TimeInf iTransformer

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