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Impact of Dataset Properties on Membership Inference Vulnerability of Deep Transfer Learning
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Derives and empirically verifies a power law relating membership inference vulnerability (TPR minus FPR for LiRA/RMIA) of fine-tuned ViT and ResNet models to the number of examples per class, and extrapolates the dataset sizes needed for DP-comparable protection.
Problem
How dataset properties (examples per class S and number of classes C) affect membership inference vulnerability of non-DP fine-tuned neural networks, especially at low FPR and for the most vulnerable individual points, and how this relates to DP guarantees.
Approach
A simplified high-dimensional Gaussian model of fine-tuning (class means on a unit sphere, inner-product classifier) where LiRA is optimal yields a closed-form power law log(TPR-FPR) = -0.5 log S + const; this is validated empirically on VTAB few-shot tasks with ViT-B and ResNet-50 heads/FiLM and extrapolated to DP-matching dataset sizes.
Key results
- Regression on ViT-B (Head) LiRA data gives R^2=0.930 at FPR=0.001, with fitted beta_S around -0.5 for larger FPR, matching the theoretical 0.5 exponent.
- Per-example quantiles decay with slope near -0.5 (e.g., -0.5603, -0.5688, -0.4796), while the maximum decays more slowly (-0.2695).
- Extrapolation suggests ~160 shots per class at FPR=0.1 (average case, eps=1) and ~19,000 at FPR=0.001 to match DP bounds with delta=1e-5.
Measured effects reported in the paper
| What was changed | Where | Measured | Effect |
|---|---|---|---|
| Increase examples per class (shots) | Fine-tuned ViT-B Head attacked with LiRA · Image-classification datasets | TPR at fixed FPR | Helped |
| Increase number of classes | Fine-tuned ViT-B Head attacked with LiRA · Image-classification datasets at S=32 | TPR at fixed FPR | Hurt |
| Use RMIA instead of LiRA | Fine-tuned ViT-B Head · Vulnerability across shots at FPR=0.1 | TPR−FPR | Mixed |
| Increase shots per class | Individual samples in Patch Camelyon · Individual vulnerability quantiles | β_S: -0.5603, -0.5688 and -0.4796 | Helped |
| Increase shots per class | Most vulnerable individual sample in Patch Camelyon · Maximum individual vulnerability | β_S: -0.2695; with S≥32768, -0.3478 | Helped |
| Predict log(TPR−FPR) rather than log(TPR) (ablation) | Dataset-property regression model · Empirical vulnerability prediction | prediction quality | Helped |
| Transfer the fitted regression model from ViT-B Head to R-50 Head | Dataset-property regression model · R-50 Head test data | test R²: test R^2=0.790 | Helped |
| Train target models from scratch rather than fine-tuning | Image-classification target models · From-scratch training | TPR | Hurt |
| Increase shots per class | Simplified membership-inference model · Per-example and average-case LiRA | TPR−FPR: -0.5 | Helped |
Surprising findings
- The maximum individual vulnerability decays much more slowly than quantiles, so the most vulnerable points need very large datasets for protection.
- From-scratch trained models appear more vulnerable than the fitted fine-tuning power law predicts.
Limitations
- Theory relies on a simplified Gaussian model with well-behaved distributions and infinitely many shadow models; the power law may not hold for large networks trained from scratch.
- Evaluation assumes only the target point is known to the adversary; stronger settings may invalidate the power law.
- Extrapolated sample sizes depend on regression fits and translation between TPR/FPR and (epsilon, delta)-DP bounds, and are not formal guarantees.
Experimental setup
Datasets: VTAB Patch Camelyon EuroSAT CIFAR100 ImageNet-21k
Benchmarks: VTAB few-shot subset
Metrics: TPR at fixed FPR TPR minus FPR R^2 of regression
Baselines: LiRA RMIA
Builds on: LiRA RMIA Clopper-Pearson intervals Optuna
Closest papers by meaning
- Assessing Per-Sample Membership Inference Vulnerability without Retraining (NeurIPS 2026 · similarity 0.89)
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- Estimating Model-Level Membership Inference Vulnerability Without Reference Models (NeurIPS 2026 · similarity 0.88)
- Causal Evaluation of Membership Inference Attacks (NeurIPS 2026 · similarity 0.88)
- Membership Inference Attacks against Fine-tuned Large Language Models via Self-prompt Calibration (NeurIPS 2024 · similarity 0.87)
- DF-MIA: A Distribution-Free Membership Inference Attack on Fine-Tuned Large Language Models (AAAI 2025 · similarity 0.87)
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