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Learning from Interval Targets

NeurIPS 2025 · Learning theory and algorithms › Kernels and regression theory · approach: Information-theoretic generalization bounds · 0 citations (OpenAlex)

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Studies regression with interval targets via a projection loss with non-asymptotic bounds based on Lipschitz smoothness, and proposes minmax variants (including pseudo-label PL methods) that constrain worst-case labels to smooth hypotheses.

Problem

Regression when only lower and upper bounds (intervals) on the target are available instead of exact labels; standard regression losses cannot be applied and prior analyses rely on restrictive realizability and small ambiguity degree assumptions.

Approach

Use a projection loss that penalizes predictions outside the interval, derive non-asymptotic generalization bounds via Lipschitz smoothness that shrink the intervals (no ambiguity-degree assumption), and propose a minmax objective whose worst-case labels are restricted to outputs of smooth hypotheses (Minmax reg, PL Max/Mean), with Lipschitz MLPs controlling smoothness.

Key results

Measured effects reported in the paper

What was changedWhereMeasuredEffect
Use a Lipschitz-constrained MLP instead of a standard MLPInterval-target regression · 18 tabular regression datasetstest MAEMixed
Use LipMLP instead of MLPInterval-target regression · Aileronstest MAE: 4.323 ± 0.098 -> 3.278 ± 0.034Helped
Use LipMLP instead of MLPInterval-target regression · Allstate Claimstest MAE: 86.542 ± 0.002 -> 86.547 ± 0.001No clear effect
Use LipMLP instead of MLPInterval-target regression · GPUtest MAE: 25.123 ± 0.888 -> 29.817 ± 0.100Hurt
Use LipMLP instead of MLPInterval-target regression · Mercedestest MAE: 11.207 ± 0.218 -> 8.791 ± 0.187Helped
Use LipMLP instead of MLPInterval-target regression · Miami Housetest MAE: 1.671 ± 0.055 -> 1.013 ± 0.028Helped
Use LipMLP instead of MLPInterval-target regression · Superconducttest MAE: 1.459 ± 0.099 -> 0.540 ± 0.021Helped
Use projection objective or PL methods instead of naive minmaxInterval-target regression · Uniform interval settingtest MAEHelped
Use naive minmax instead of projection/PL methodsInterval-target regression · Intervals centered near targettest MAEHelped
Decrease the Lipschitz constant (ablation)Lipschitz MLP · Interval-target experimentsaverage interval sizeHelped
Tune the Lipschitz constant to balance smoothness and model capacity (ablation)Lipschitz MLP · Interval-target experimentstest MAEHelped

Surprising findings

Limitations

Experimental setup

Datasets: UCI Machine Learning Repository datasets (5) 18 tabular regression datasets

Benchmarks: UCI regression datasets (interval targets) tabular regression benchmark (18 datasets)

Metrics: test MAE

Baselines: projection loss with standard MLP minmax loss with standard MLP midpoint supervised regression PL (Max) PL (Mean)

Builds on: partial-label learning spectral normalization

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