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ARECHO: Autoregressive Evaluation via Chain-Based Hypothesis Optimization for Speech Multi-Metric Estimation

NeurIPS 2025 · Probabilistic and scientific modeling › Molecules and proteins · approach: Statistical analysis of ML practice · 1 citations (OpenAlex)

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Proposes ARECHO, an autoregressive speech multi-metric evaluator that tokenizes numerical and categorical metrics, predicts them via a dynamic classifier chain, and uses two-step confidence-oriented decoding, outperforming UniVERSA on speech quality metrics.

Problem

Joint estimation of many heterogeneous speech metrics (quality, intelligibility, MOS, categorical attributes) is hard due to differing scales, partial labels, and independent parallel prediction that ignores inter-metric dependencies.

Approach

Tokenize all metric values into a shared discrete vocabulary (percentile-based bins for numerical, direct mapping for categorical) and model metrics as an interleaved metadata/value token sequence in a randomly permuted dynamic classifier chain, decoded with a two-step confidence-driven beam search.

Key results

Measured effects reported in the paper

What was changedWhereMeasuredEffect
Add ARECHO's dynamic classifier chain to uniform-tokenized numerical predictionUniVERSA-T · Avg. Test (Base)MSE: 37.72 -> 23.26Helped
Add ARECHO's dynamic classifier chain to uniform-tokenized numerical predictionUniVERSA-T · Avg. Test (Base)LCC: 0.79 -> 0.86Helped
Add ARECHO's dynamic classifier chain to uniform-tokenized numerical predictionUniVERSA-T · Avg. Test (Base)F1: 0.49 -> 0.57Helped
Add ARECHO's dynamic classifier chain to uniform-tokenized numerical predictionUniVERSA-T · Avg. Test (Scale)MSE: 39.32 -> 25.21Helped
Add ARECHO's dynamic classifier chain to uniform-tokenized numerical predictionUniVERSA-T · Avg. Test (Scale)LCC: 0.86 -> 0.85Hurt
Tokenize numerical metrics using uniform quantization (ablation)UniVERSA · Avg. Test (Base)MSE: 96.99 -> 37.72Helped
Use percentile-based rather than uniform-over-value binning (ablation)ARECHO tokenization · SynthesizedRMSE: 0.100 -> 0.056Helped
Use percentile-based rather than uniform-over-value binning (ablation)ARECHO tokenization · EnhancedRMSE: 0.223 -> 0.139Helped
Use percentile-based rather than uniform-over-value binning (ablation)ARECHO tokenization · CorruptedRMSE: 0.512 -> 0.261Helped
Increase percentile-based quantization from 500 to 1000 bins (ablation)ARECHO tokenization · SynthesizedRMSE: 0.056 -> 0.034Helped
Increase percentile-based quantization from 500 to 1000 bins (ablation)ARECHO tokenization · EnhancedRMSE: 0.139 -> 0.103Helped
Increase percentile-based quantization from 500 to 1000 bins (ablation)ARECHO tokenization · CorruptedRMSE: 0.261 -> 0.165Helped

Surprising findings

Limitations

Experimental setup

Datasets: OWSM-V3 subset URGENT2024 simulated training data Voice Bank+DEMAND URGENT2024 enhanced speech VoiceMOS 2022 NISQA

Benchmarks: URGENT2024 blind test set VoiceMOS 2022 NISQA Voice Bank+DEMAND

Metrics: MSE LCC KTAU ACC F1

Baselines: UniVERSA UniVERSA-T

Builds on: UniVERSA classifier chain WavLM VERSA

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