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Instance-Optimality for Private KL Distribution Estimation

NeurIPS 2025 · Learning theory and algorithms › Sample complexity · approach: Distributed estimation under communication limits · 0 citations (OpenAlex)

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Gives minimax-optimal and instance-optimal (up to constants) private and non-private estimators for KL distribution estimation, via a "sampling twice" Good-Turing variant with calibrated private thresholding.

Problem

Estimating a discrete distribution over d symbols in KL divergence under (approximate/pure) differential privacy, where worst-case minimax optimality fails to predict per-instance performance and prior neighborhoods for instance optimality are too large or too small.

Approach

Introduces additive local neighborhoods (perturbations of size t/n, t/(nε), and sqrt(p_i/n)) for instance-optimality in KL, and a "sampling twice" Good-Turing-style estimator with low sensitivity (one-record change affects one count) that can be privatized via Laplace noise and calibrated thresholding for selecting small symbols.

Key results

Measured effects reported in the paper

What was changedWhereMeasuredEffect
use the DP instance-optimal Sampling Twice estimator instead of Add-constant (DP)KL distribution estimation · power-law distributionsKL errorHelped
use the DP instance-optimal Sampling Twice estimator instead of Add-constant (DP)KL distribution estimation · Reddit token distributionnegative log likelihood ratioHelped
use the DP instance-optimal Sampling Twice estimator instead of Add-constant (DP)KL distribution estimation · Enron-email token distributionnegative log likelihood ratioHelped
use the DP instance-optimal Sampling Twice estimator instead of Add-constant (DP)KL distribution estimation · MMLU token distributionnegative log likelihood ratioHelped
use non-DP Sampling Twice instead of the prior Good-Turing estimatorKL distribution estimation · power-law distributionsKL errorNo clear effect
use non-DP Sampling Twice instead of the prior Good-Turing estimatorKL distribution estimation · real-world token distributionsnegative log likelihood ratioMixed

Surprising findings

Limitations

Experimental setup

Datasets: Reddit token distribution Enron-emails token distribution MMLU token distribution synthetic power-law distributions

Benchmarks: Reddit token distribution Enron-emails token distribution MMLU token distribution power-law distributions

Metrics: KL divergence (negative log likelihood term)

Baselines: Add-constant (DP) Good-Turing (non-DP)

Builds on: Good-Turing estimator Orlitsky and Suresh simplified Good-Turing Assouad's method permutation neighborhood instance optimality

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