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Geometry of Decision Making in Language Models
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Studies layer-wise intrinsic dimension (MLE, TwoNN, GRIDE) of last-token representations in 28 open-weight LLMs on MCQA tasks, relating ID peaks to decisiveness measured via logit-lens accuracy.
Problem
How LLMs internally arrive at decisions in multiple-choice QA is opaque; the geometry of hidden representations (intrinsic dimension across layers) and its link to decisiveness and confidence is unexplored.
Approach
Uses intrinsic dimension estimators on last-token residual/MLP activations across layers and pairs them with logit-lens accuracy, finding a hump-shaped ID profile whose peak coincides with the onset of confident predictions, plus analyses of few-shot prompting and Pythia training checkpoints.
Key results
- Across 28 open-weight models, intrinsic dimension of MLP-output last-token representations shows a hump-shaped profile across layers, with ID peaks coinciding with sharp accuracy increases on MMLU.
- Final-layer ID correlates negatively with accuracy for LLaMA models on some datasets (e.g., SST2 Spearman -0.943, Rotten Tomatoes -0.771), but the correlation largely disappears when restricting to models above baseline accuracy.
- Few-shot prompting (up to 50 shots on arithmetic, Pythia 410M-6.9B) generally improves accuracy while reducing final-layer ID, with 2.8B as an exception.
Measured effects reported in the paper
| What was changed | Where | Measured | Effect |
|---|---|---|---|
| Increase the number of in-context examples | LLMs on reasoning-heavy MCQA tasks · Reasoning-heavy MCQA tasks | final-layer intrinsic dimension | Helped |
| Increase the number of few-shot examples | Pythia models on arithmetic reasoning · Arithmetic reasoning | accuracy | Mixed |
| Increase the number of few-shot examples | Pythia models on arithmetic reasoning · Arithmetic reasoning | final-layer intrinsic dimension | Helped |
| Use MLP output representations rather than residual post-activations | Transformer layerwise representations · MCQA | intrinsic dimension transition sharpness | Helped |
| Use residual post-activations rather than MLP outputs | Transformer layerwise representations · MCQA | intrinsic dimension trend smoothness | Helped |
| Use final-layer intrinsic dimension as an accuracy proxy | LLaMA-family models · Real-world MCQA datasets | accuracy correlation: -0.720 | Mixed |
| Evaluate only models that perform above baseline | LLaMA-family models · MMLU Social Sciences | Pearson correlation between ID and accuracy: -0.084 -> 0.25 | No clear effect |
| Increase model capacity | Language models · MCQA | layer depth at ID peak | Helped |
Surprising findings
- Final-layer ID is a weak and unstable proxy for model accuracy; correlations vanish for models performing above baseline.
- Smaller models' accuracy sometimes decreases with more few-shot examples, possibly due to surface-pattern extraction.
Limitations
- Correlational rather than causal link between ID peaks and decisiveness.
- ID estimators are noisy; only three estimators used, and only last-token representations considered.
- Restricted to MCQA and two-choice/four-choice formats; open-ended generation not analyzed.
Experimental setup
Datasets: CoLA AG News MMLU Rotten Tomatoes SST2 COPA COLD Arithmetic (template-based) Greater Than (template-based)
Benchmarks: CoLA AG News MMLU Rotten Tomatoes SST2 COPA COLD Arithmetic Greater Than
Metrics: accuracy intrinsic dimension Pearson correlation Spearman correlation Kendall tau
Baselines: MLE TwoNN
Builds on: GRIDE TwoNN Logit Lens TransformerLens
Closest papers by meaning
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- Potemkin Understanding in Large Language Models (ICML 2025 · similarity 0.88)
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- The Tell-Tale Norm: $\ell_2$ Magnitude as a Signal for Reasoning Dynamics in Large Language Models (ICML 2026 · similarity 0.87)
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