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On Reasoning Strength Planning in Large Reasoning Models

NeurIPS 2025 · Large language models › Reasoning and chain of thought · approach: Efficient and adaptive thinking · 0 citations (OpenAlex)

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Shows that large reasoning models pre-plan reasoning length in question-token activations: a linear probe predicts reasoning token count, and a pre-allocated difference-in-means direction whose magnitude controls length (via </think> logits) can be used to steer length and accuracy.

Problem

How and where large reasoning models decide their reasoning strength (number of reasoning tokens) before generation, given their documented difficulty-aware allocation of reasoning length.

Approach

Uses linear probes on question-final activations to predict reasoning length before generation, and extracts a difference-in-means direction between difficulty levels that is nearly parallel across difficulties; adding or subtracting it steers reasoning length and affects the </think> logit.

Key results

Measured effects reported in the paper

What was changedWhereMeasuredEffect
add activation steeringR1-Distill-Qwen-1.5B · MATH500accuracy: 82.77 -> 83.00Helped
add activation steeringR1-Distill-Qwen-1.5B · AIME2024accuracy: 28.33 -> 29.58Helped
add activation steeringR1-Distill-Qwen-1.5B · OlympiadBenchaccuracy: 44.41 -> 44.67Helped
add activation steeringR1-Distill-Qwen-7B · AIME2024accuracy: 50.42 -> 55.00Helped
add activation steeringR1-Distill-Qwen-14B · AIME2024accuracy: 61.25 -> 67.08Helped
add activation steeringR1-Distill-Qwen-32B · AIME2024accuracy: 63.75 -> 67.50Helped
add activation steeringQwQ-32B · OlympiadBenchaccuracy: 31.25 -> 31.25No clear effect
reduce steering strength with negative lambda (ablation)R1-Distill-Qwen models · MATH500, AIME2024, and OlympiadBenchreasoning token numberHurt
increase steering strength with positive lambda (ablation)R1-Distill-Qwen models · MATH500, AIME2024, and OlympiadBenchaccuracyMixed
steer with a positive pre-allocation vector (ablation)R1-Distill-Qwen-7B · MATH500accuracy: 92.17 -> 92.65Helped
multiply the </think> logit by gamma = 2 (ablation)R1-Distill-Qwen-7B · MATH500accuracy: 92.18 -> 56.20Hurt
multiply the </think> logit by gamma = 0.8 (ablation)R1-Distill-Qwen-7B · MATH500accuracy: 92.18 -> 0.00Hurt

Surprising findings

Limitations

Experimental setup

Datasets: MATH AlpacaEval MMLU

Benchmarks: MATH500 AIME2024 OlympiadBench GPQA diamond LiveCodeBench MMLU

Metrics: accuracy reasoning token number answer token number correlation coefficient

Baselines: unsteered model (w/o steering)

Builds on: difference-in-means steering Lasso regression vLLM DeepSeek-R1 distillation

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