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Knowledge Distillation of Uncertainty using Deep Latent Factor Model

NeurIPS 2025 · Probabilistic and scientific modeling › Uncertainty and Gaussian processes · approach: Single-model predictive uncertainty · 1 citations (OpenAlex)

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Proposes Gaussian distillation, which compresses a deep ensemble into a single student DNN defining a deep latent factor Gaussian process (fit by EM with MMD-penalized initialization), and samples ensemble members from it to preserve uncertainty.

Problem

Knowledge distillation of deep ensembles into small models loses uncertainty, since smaller networks and weight sharing reduce variation; existing distribution distillation (Dirichlet) is unstable.

Approach

Treat teacher ensemble members as independent realizations of a Gaussian process whose mean and factor-loading functions are a student DNN (deep latent factor model), estimated stably via EM; at inference, sample ensemble members from the learned distribution to add variation.

Key results

Measured effects reported in the paper

What was changedWhereMeasuredEffect
distill the ensemble with Gaussian distillation (DLF) rather than LBECIFAR-10 ensemble · CIFAR-10accuracy (%): 93.25 (0.26) -> 93.40 (0.14)Helped
distill the ensemble with Gaussian distillation (DLF) rather than small-EnsCIFAR-10 ensemble · CIFAR-10NLL: 0.2377 (0.0019) -> 0.2246 (0.0023)Helped
use DLF rather than Proxy-EnD²CIFAR-10 ensemble · CIFAR-10ECE (%): 2.08 (0.19) -> 2.79 (0.20)Hurt
distill the ensemble with Gaussian distillation (DLF) rather than LBECIFAR-100 ensemble · CIFAR-100accuracy (%): 79.58 (0.40) -> 79.68 (0.23)Helped
use DLF rather than Proxy-EnD²CIFAR-100 ensemble · CIFAR-100NLL: 1.2355 (0.0151) -> 0.8974 (0.0042)Helped
use DLF rather than Proxy-EnD²CIFAR-100 ensemble · CIFAR-100ECE (%): 7.35 (0.25) -> 9.45 (0.31)Hurt
distill the teacher ensemble with DLF rather than small-EnsDistilRoBERTa fine-tuning · RTEECE (%): 13.09 (0.0148) -> 9.74 (0.5050)Helped
distill the teacher ensemble with DLF rather than small-EnsDistilRoBERTa fine-tuning · MRPCECE (%): 9.84 (0.0164) -> 10.72 (0.0392)Hurt
distill the teacher ensemble with DLF rather than small-EnsDistilRoBERTa fine-tuning · WiCaccuracy (%): 65.02 (0.0062) -> 66.18 (0.0146)Helped
distill the teacher ensemble with DLF rather than small-EnsDistilRoBERTa fine-tuning · WiCNLL: 0.7674 (0.0206) -> 0.7706 (0.0543)Hurt
use DLF rather than Hydra or BEregression ensemble · UCI regression benchmarksRMSEHelped
distill the ensemble with DLF rather than deterministic student methodsregression ensemble · Boston housing and Concrete95% coverage probabilityHelped

Surprising findings

Limitations

Experimental setup

Datasets: UCI benchmark datasets (Boston housing, Concrete, Energy, Wine, Power, Kin8nm) CIFAR-10 CIFAR-100 RTE MRPC WiC CIFAR10-Flip

Benchmarks: UCI regression datasets CIFAR-10 CIFAR-100 RTE MRPC WiC CIFAR10-Flip

Metrics: RMSE NLL CRPS 95% coverage probability accuracy ECE

Baselines: small-Ens Hydra BE LBE Proxy-EnD^2 EDFM Dirichlet distillation

Builds on: Dirichlet distillation Hydra BatchEnsemble Latent Batch Ensemble LoRA

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