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Characterization and Learning of Causal Graphs from Hard Interventions

NeurIPS 2025 · Probabilistic and scientific modeling › Causal discovery · approach: Identifiability with hidden confounders · 0 citations (OpenAlex)

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Characterizes interventional Markov equivalence of causal graphs with latents under hard interventions via generalized do-calculus constraints, and proposes a sound FCI-style algorithm that learns augmented-graph tuples from multiple hard-interventional datasets.

Problem

Causal discovery with latent variables from multiple experimental datasets generated by hard interventions (plus optional observational data), where existing I-Markov equivalence characterizations were developed for soft interventions and cannot exploit the extra do-invariances hard interventions pr

Approach

Generalizes do-calculus rules to arbitrary pairs of hard-intervention sets, encodes them via augmented pair graphs with F-nodes and twin augmented MAGs, compresses them into I-augmented MAG tuples, and learns these with an FCI-variant that adds new orientation rules (Rules 8-11).

Key results

Measured effects reported in the paper

What was changedWhereMeasuredEffect
Use hard instead of soft interventionsI-MEC size on enumerated ADMGs · Random and complete ADMGs, n=2–4mean I-MEC size: 2.03 \pm 0.15 vs 2.93 \pm 0.29; 721.37 \pm 276.36 vs 1529.57 \pm 368.68Helped
Use hard instead of soft interventionsI-MEC size estimated by sampling complete DAGs · n=2–6estimated equivalent-ADMG probability: 0.417 \pm 0.010 vs 0.584 \pm 0.010; 0.015 \pm 0.010 vs 0.036 \pm 0.012Helped
Use hard instead of soft interventionsI-MEC size estimated on dense ADMGs · n=3–6, approximately 0.9 bidirected-edge densityestimated equivalent-ADMG probability: 0.151 \pm 0.011 vs 0.264 \pm 0.015; 0.019 \pm 0.010 vs 0.059 \pm 0.012Helped
Use hard instead of soft interventionsI-MEC size estimated across bidirected-edge densities · Complete DAGs, n=5, densities 0.1–0.9estimated equivalent-ADMG probability: 0.020 \pm 0.011 vs 0.024 \pm 0.011; 0.034 \pm 0.010 vs 0.093 \pm 0.011Mixed

Surprising findings

Limitations

Experimental setup

Metrics: I-MEC size ratio of hard to soft I-MEC size

Baselines: soft-intervention I-MEC characterization

Builds on: do-calculus FCI F-node augmented graphs Markov equivalence characterization for interventions

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