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On Minimax Estimation of Parameters in Softmax-Contaminated Mixture of Experts

NeurIPS 2025 · Architectures and efficiency › Mixture of experts · approach: Expert routing and specialization · 0 citations (OpenAlex)

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Studies maximum likelihood estimation in a softmax-gated contaminated mixture of experts (frozen pre-trained expert plus trainable Gaussian prompt expert), deriving parametric and slower-than-parametric minimax-optimal rates depending on a novel distinguishability condition.

Problem

Theoretical properties of parameter estimation in softmax-contaminated mixture of experts, where a frozen pre-trained model is fine-tuned by a new trainable prompt expert; estimability degrades when the prompt overlaps with the pre-trained model.

Approach

Introduces an analytic distinguishability condition between pre-trained and prompt experts and a strong identifiability condition on expert functions; under distinguishability MLE rates are parametric and minimax optimal, while under non-distinguishability rates slow according to the prompt's convergence rate to the pre-trained model.

Key results

Measured effects reported in the paper

What was changedWhereMeasuredEffect
Use softmax gating instead of input-free gatingContaminated MoE in the distinguishable setting · Distinguishable settingexpert parameter and variance estimation rate: $\widetilde{\mathcal{O}}(n^{-1/2}(\lambda^*)^{-1})$ -> $\widetilde{\mathcal{O}}(n^{-1/2})$Helped
Use softmax gating instead of input-free gatingContaminated MoE in the non-distinguishable setting · Non-distinguishable settingexpert parameter and variance estimation rate: $\widetilde{\mathcal{O}} (n^{-\frac{1}{2}}\cdot\Vert(\Delta\eta^*,\Delta\nu^*)\Vert^{-1}(\lambda^*)^{-1})$ -> $\widetildHelped
Allow the prompt model to overlap in expertise with the pre-trained modelSoftmax-contaminated MoE MLE · Distinguishable versus non-distinguishable settingsparameter estimation rate: $\widetilde{\mathcal{O}} (n^{-\frac{1}{2}})$ -> rates depend on $\Vert(\Delta\eta^*,\Delta\nu^*)\Vert$Hurt

Surprising findings

Limitations

Experimental setup

Datasets: synthetic Gaussian covariates with softmax-contaminated MoE responses

Benchmarks: synthetic simulations

Metrics: parameter estimation error empirical convergence rate (log-log slope)

Baselines: input-free-gated contaminated MoE

Builds on: prefix tuning Nguyen et al. contaminated mixture of experts Yan et al. contaminated mixture of experts

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