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Adaptive Kernel Design for Bayesian Optimization Is a Piece of CAKE with LLMs

NeurIPS 2025 · Probabilistic and scientific modeling › Bayesian optimization · approach: Acquisition function design

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Proposes CAKE, which uses an LLM (gpt-4o-mini) as crossover and mutation operators to evolve Gaussian process kernels during Bayesian optimization, plus BAKER to rank kernels by BIC-weighted expected improvement.

Problem

Bayesian optimization performance depends heavily on the GP kernel, but fixed or heuristic kernel choices often converge slowly or suboptimally when poorly matched to the objective, and data are too scarce for traditional kernel-search methods.

Approach

Use an LLM, prompted with observed data and kernel fitness, as genetic crossover and mutation operators over a kernel grammar (base kernels SE, PER, LIN, RQ, M3, M5 combined by + and ×), and select the kernel at each iteration via BAKER, which weights kernels by BIC and their expected improvement at the proposed point.

Key results

Measured effects reported in the paper

What was changedWhereMeasuredEffect
combine BIC and acquisition value for kernel ranking instead of using acquisition value only (ablation)CAKE on HPOBench · HPOBenchaverage rank: 2.40 -> 1.04Helped
combine BIC and acquisition value for kernel ranking instead of using BIC only (ablation)CAKE on HPOBench · HPOBenchaverage rank: 3.02 -> 1.04Helped
use LLM kernel edits instead of genetic algorithm operators (ablation)CAKE on HPOBench · HPOBenchaverage rank: 2.70 -> 1.04Helped
use LLM-guided kernel generation instead of random kernel combinations (ablation)CAKE on HPOBench · HPOBenchaverage rank: 6.80 -> 1.04Helped
remove optimization history from the prompt (ablation)CAKE on HPOBench · HPOBenchoptimization performanceHurt
remove kernel-generation instructions from the prompt (ablation)CAKE on HPOBench · HPOBenchoptimization performance: 68%Hurt
remove the reasoning requirement from the prompt (ablation)CAKE on HPOBench · HPOBenchoptimization performanceHurt

Surprising findings

Limitations

Experimental setup

Datasets: HPOBench tabular hyperparameter optimization tasks (12 OpenML datasets, 5 ML models) robot pushing benchmark lunar lander (Gymnasium) photonic chip physics simulation

Benchmarks: HPOBench robot pushing lunar lander photonic chip design synthetic test functions (Ackley, Branin, etc.)

Metrics: average test accuracy average rank average reward score and hypervolume normalized regret

Baselines: SE kernel Matern-5/2 kernel Adaptive kernel selection (Random, Utility, BIC) Deep GP Ensemble GP Compositional Kernel Search Automated BO Single-Task GP Additive GP

Builds on: kernel grammar automated bayesian optimization genetic algorithm BoTorch

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