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Identification of Analytic Nonlinear Dynamical Systems with Non-asymptotic Guarantees

NeurIPS 2024 · Probabilistic and scientific modeling › Dynamical systems · approach: Stable contractive dynamics · 0 citations (OpenAlex)

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Shows that least-squares and set-membership estimation with i.i.d. random (non-active) inputs and disturbances provably identify linearly parameterized nonlinear systems whose features are real-analytic, giving non-asymptotic rates of 1/sqrt(T) (LSE) and 1/T (SME diameter).

Problem

Non-active exploration (i.i.d. inputs and noise) is known to fail for linearly parameterized nonlinear systems with piecewise-affine features; it is unclear when i.i.d. random inputs suffice for identification of such systems with non-asymptotic guarantees.

Approach

Real-analytic feature functions cannot vanish on positive-measure sets, so combined with semi-continuous bounded noise, any direction of the feature vector has non-vanishing probability of being large; this establishes a block-martingale small-ball (BMSB) condition that gives LSE and SME convergence rates under i.i.d. inputs.

Key results

Measured effects reported in the paper

What was changedWhereMeasuredEffect
Use non-active i.i.d. inputs and disturbances with real-analytic feature functionsLSE for linearly parameterized nonlinear systems · Pendulum and quadrotorLSE estimation error rate: O(1/√T)Helped
Use non-active i.i.d. inputs and disturbances with real-analytic feature functionsSME for linearly parameterized nonlinear systems · Pendulum and quadrotorSME uncertainty-set diameter rate: O(1/T)Helped
Use real-analytic feature functions rather than general non-smooth feature functionsNon-active exploration for nonlinear system identification · Linearly parameterized nonlinear systemsidentification under non-active explorationHelped

Limitations

Experimental setup

Datasets: simulated pendulum trajectories simulated quadrotor trajectories

Benchmarks: pendulum simulation quadrotor simulation

Metrics: parameter estimation error (normalized l2) SME uncertainty set diameter

Baselines: piecewise-affine counter-example

Builds on: block-martingale small-ball condition (Simchowitz et al.) Paley-Zygmund inequality least-squares estimation meta-theorem for linear systems set-membership estimation for linear regression

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