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Hierarchical Uncertainty Exploration via Feedforward Posterior Trees

NeurIPS 2024 · Probabilistic and scientific modeling › Uncertainty and Gaussian processes · approach: Bayesian decision-making under uncertainty · 4 citations (OpenAlex)

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Proposes posterior trees, a feedforward U-Net that outputs a hierarchical tree-valued summary of an inverse problem's posterior in a single forward pass, matching hierarchical K-means over diffusion/GAN posterior samples at a fraction of the cost.

Problem

Visualizing and summarizing the high-dimensional posterior distribution of ill-posed imaging inverse problems so users can explore plausible solutions efficiently, since posterior sampling plus clustering is too slow.

Approach

Train a network with a hierarchical (amortized) oracle/winner-takes-all loss so that its K^d outputs form a tree of hierarchical centroidal Voronoi cells, with parent nodes computed bottom-up as probability-weighted means of children; leaf probabilities come from an MLP head. Includes gradient-scaling annealing to prevent hypothesis collapse and a weighted sampler for imbalanced posteriors.

Key results

Measured effects reported in the paper

What was changedWhereMeasuredEffect
Replace DDNM posterior sampling and clustering with posterior treesFFHQ colorization · FFHQ colorizationoptimal PSNR (d=2): 26.1$\pm$3.6 -> 26.4$\pm$4.0Helped
Replace DDNM posterior sampling and clustering with posterior treesFFHQ colorization · FFHQ colorizationNFE: 10000 -> 1Helped
Replace RePaint posterior sampling and clustering with posterior treesFFHQ mouth inpainting · FFHQ mouth inpaintingoptimal PSNR (d=2): 20.7$\pm$2.3 -> 20.4$\pm$2.2Hurt
Replace RePaint posterior sampling and clustering with posterior treesFFHQ mouth inpainting · FFHQ mouth inpaintingNFE: 457000 -> 1Helped
Replace RePaint posterior sampling and clustering with posterior treesFFHQ eyes inpainting · FFHQ eyes inpaintingoptimal PSNR (d=2): 20.6$\pm$2.8 -> 19.8$\pm$2.4Hurt
Replace RePaint posterior sampling and clustering with posterior treesFFHQ eyes inpainting · FFHQ eyes inpaintingNFE: 457000 -> 1Helped
Use hierarchical rather than flat clustering (ablation)Posterior trees on the toy denoising example · Toy denoisingrepresentation of rare posterior modesHelped
Use a binary hierarchical tree rather than a flat tree with the same number of leaves (ablation)Posterior trees on digit inpainting · MNIST digit inpaintingfaithfulness of the '4' clusterHelped
Use smaller tree degree and greater depth (ablation)Posterior trees on digit inpainting · MNIST digit inpaintingemphasis on weaker posterior modesHelped
Use weighted sampling with Adam instead of standard sampling with Adam (ablation)Posterior trees for image inpainting · Image inpaintingquality of low-likelihood leavesHelped
Use SGD instead of Adam with standard sampling (ablation)Posterior trees for image inpainting · Image inpaintingplausibility of low-likelihood leavesHelped
Fully share parameters across prediction leaves instead of using separate decoders (ablation)Posterior trees for image inpainting · Image inpaintingprediction diversityHurt

Surprising findings

Limitations

Experimental setup

Datasets: MNIST Edges2Shoes CelebA-HQ FFHQ AFHQ(v2) bioimage migrating cells dataset

Benchmarks: FFHQ 100-image subset (colorization, mouth inpainting, eyes inpainting)

Metrics: optimal PSNR negative log-likelihood neural function evaluations

Baselines: DDNM DDRM RePaint MAT Flat K-means Hierarchical K-means

Builds on: multiple choice learning hierarchical K-means U-Net

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