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Conformal Prediction for Class-wise Coverage via Augmented Label Rank Calibration
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Proposes RC3P, a model-agnostic class-conditional conformal prediction method that adds label-rank calibration to class-wise score thresholding, giving class-wise coverage with smaller prediction sets than CCP.
Problem
Class-conditional conformal prediction on classification tasks with many and/or imbalanced classes produces large prediction sets, and existing class-wise methods either lack model-agnostic guarantees or still yield large sets.
Approach
Augments class-wise conformal score thresholding with a per-class label-rank calibration: for each class y, only apply the class-wise threshold to test inputs where y is ranked within the top-k(y) predictions, where k(y) is chosen so the class-wise top-k error is below alpha, and adjusts the nominal error accordingly.
Key results
- On imbalanced datasets, RC3P reduces average prediction set size by 24.47% over the better of CCP and Cluster-CP across four datasets (32.63% excluding CIFAR-10) at 90% class-conditional coverage.
- On balanced datasets with pre-trained models, RC3P reduces APSS by 32.826% on average relative to the best baseline.
- CCP, Cluster-CP, and RC3P all achieve near-zero under-coverage ratio across settings, with RC3P maintaining class-wise coverage agnostic to the classifier and data distribution.
Measured effects reported in the paper
| What was changed | Where | Measured | Effect |
|---|---|---|---|
| Add calibrated label-rank filtering to class-wise conformal prediction | CCP · Imbalanced datasets, four-dataset average | APSS: 24.47% | Helped |
| Add calibrated label-rank filtering to class-wise conformal prediction | CCP · Balanced datasets, four-dataset average | APSS: 32.826% | Helped |
| Add calibrated label-rank filtering to class-wise conformal prediction | CCP · CIFAR-10 imbalanced settings | APSS | No clear effect |
Surprising findings
- Cluster-CP sometimes yields larger prediction sets than the class-wise CCP baseline in the imbalanced settings.
Limitations
- Reduction in set size depends on the trade-off condition sigma_y <= 1, which is verified empirically rather than guaranteed for all classifiers.
- Coverage-controlled comparison relies on tuned inflation parameter g, with empirical gaps to population quantities.
Experimental setup
Datasets: CIFAR-10 CIFAR-100 mini-ImageNet Food-101 Places365 iNaturalist ImageNet
Benchmarks: CIFAR-10 CIFAR-100 mini-ImageNet Food-101 Places365 iNaturalist ImageNet
Metrics: average prediction set size (APSS) under coverage ratio (UCR) under coverage gap (UCG)
Baselines: CCP Cluster-CP APS RAPS HPS
Builds on: class-wise conformal prediction adaptive prediction sets regularized adaptive prediction sets cluster conformal prediction LDAM
Closest papers by meaning
- Ensuring Class-Conditional Coverage for Pathological Workflows (Student Abstract) (AAAI 2025 · similarity 0.90)
- Class Adaptive Conformal Training (NeurIPS 2026 · similarity 0.89)
- Conformity Score Averaging for Classification (ICML 2025 · similarity 0.88)
- Optimal transport-based conformal prediction (ICML 2025 · similarity 0.88)
- Hierarchical Conformal Classification (NeurIPS 2026 · similarity 0.88)
- Conformal Prediction with Learned Features (ICML 2024 · similarity 0.87)
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