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SMART: Towards Pre-trained Missing-Aware Model for Patient Health Status Prediction
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Proposes SMART, a self-supervised missing-aware transformer that uses mask-biased temporal and variable attention and pre-trains by reconstructing masked patient representations in latent space (EMA target encoder), then fine-tunes for EHR prediction tasks.
Problem
Missing values in sparse EHR time series cause spurious correlations and poor patient health status predictions; existing input-space imputation can add noise and distract from semantic information.
Approach
Encode missingness directly through mask-based attention biases (temporal and variable) and perform self-supervised pre-training that reconstructs masked visit representations in latent space using an EMA target encoder, with a learnable CLS vector bridging pre-training and fine-tuning.
Key results
- SMART reaches 53.84% AUPRC on Cardiology and 81.67% AUPRC on Sepsis, outperforming the best baseline on the binary tasks by an average of 3.80% AUPRC and 5.15% F1.
- On MIMIC-III decompensation SMART achieves 71.26% AUPRC versus 68.21% for Warpformer, the next best.
- Replacing latent-space reconstruction with input-space imputation pre-training lowers Cardiology AUPRC from 53.84 to 52.77.
Measured effects reported in the paper
| What was changed | Where | Measured | Effect |
|---|---|---|---|
| use SMART instead of the strongest baseline, PPN | Cardiology prediction · Cardiology | AUPRC (%): 49.98{ $\pm$3.97} -> 53.84{ $\pm$2.24} | Helped |
| use SMART instead of the strongest baseline, ConCare | Sepsis prediction · Sepsis | AUPRC (%): 74.83{ $\pm$3.47} -> 81.67{ $\pm$0.84} | Helped |
| use SMART instead of the strongest baseline, Warpformer | Decompensation prediction · Decompensation | AUPRC (%): 68.21{ $\pm$1.64} -> 71.26{ $\pm$0.81} | Helped |
| add latent-space self-supervised pre-training rather than no pre-training (ablation) | SMART · Cardiology | AUPRC (%): 52.26{ $\pm$3.14} -> 53.84{ $\pm$2.24} | Helped |
| reconstruct missing values in latent space instead of input-space imputation (ablation) | SMART · Cardiology | AUPRC (%): 52.77{ $\pm$2.07} -> 53.84{ $\pm$2.24} | Helped |
| add mask information to the encoder and MART attentions (ablation) | SMART · Cardiology | AUPRC (%): 49.03{ $\pm$1.93} -> 53.84{ $\pm$2.24} | Helped |
| add temporal attention (ablation) | SMART · Sepsis | AUPRC (%): 65.22{ $\pm$1.44} -> 81.67{ $\pm$0.84} | Helped |
| add variable attention (ablation) | SMART · In-hospital Mortality | AUPRC (%): 50.98{ $\pm$0.62} -> 53.30{ $\pm$0.12} | Helped |
| add the CLS vector (ablation) | SMART · Sepsis | AUPRC (%): 77.56{ $\pm$2.89} -> 81.67{ $\pm$0.84} | Helped |
| use 2 MART layers rather than 1 (ablation) | SMART · Cardiology | AUPRC (%): 52.66{ $\pm$2.67} -> 53.84{ $\pm$2.24} | Helped |
| set pre-training mask interval to (0, 0.75) instead of (0, 0.25) (ablation) | SMART · Sepsis | AUPRC (%): 80.78{ $\pm$2.46} -> 81.67{ $\pm$0.84} | Helped |
| keep mask information in the input encoder (ablation) | SMART · Cardiology | AUPRC (%): 49.74{ $\pm$2.43} -> 53.84{ $\pm$2.24} | Helped |
Surprising findings
- Basic GRU and Transformer baselines are competitive on some tasks but Transformer collapses on Sepsis (22.56% AUPRC).
- Some strong baselines (StageNet, PrimeNet) perform surprisingly poorly on Sepsis despite good results on other datasets.
Limitations
- Only ICU multivariate time-series data is used; other EHR modalities (codes, notes, imaging) are not covered.
- Temporal attention complexity is O(T^2), limiting very long sequences.
- No interpretability analysis is provided.
Experimental setup
Datasets: Cardiology (PhysioNet 2012) Sepsis (PhysioNet 2019) MIMIC-III
Benchmarks: Cardiology Sepsis MIMIC-III in-hospital mortality MIMIC-III decompensation MIMIC-III phenotyping MIMIC-III length of stay
Metrics: AUPRC F1 Score ma-ROC mi-ROC AUROC min(Se, P+)
Baselines: AdaCare StageNet ConCare GRASP SAFARI PPN RainDrop Warpformer PrimeNet GRU Transformer
Builds on: BERT PrimeNet Transformer exponential moving average teacher
Closest papers by meaning
- GRASP: Generic Framework for Health Status Representation Learning Based on Incorporating Knowledge from Similar Patients (AAAI 2021 · similarity 0.85)
- Integrating Sequence and Image Modeling in Irregular Medical Time Series Through Self-Supervised Learning (AAAI 2025 · similarity 0.84)
- Contrastive Learning for Clinical Outcome Prediction with Partial Data Sources (ICML 2024 · similarity 0.83)
- DearLLM: Enhancing Personalized Healthcare via Large Language Models-Deduced Feature Correlations (AAAI 2025 · similarity 0.83)
- Learning What Not to Impute: An Uncertainty-Aware Diffusion Framework for Meaningful Missingness (NeurIPS 2026 · similarity 0.83)
- Distribution Shift in Missing Data Imputation: A Risk-Based Perspective and Importance-Weighted Correction under MAR (NeurIPS 2026 · similarity 0.83)
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