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Beyond Unimodal: Generalising Neural Processes for Multimodal Uncertainty Estimation

NeurIPS 2023 · Probabilistic and scientific modeling › Uncertainty and Gaussian processes · approach: Single-model predictive uncertainty

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Measured effects reported in the paper

What was changedWhereMeasuredEffect
Use multimodal Bayesian aggregation rather than concatenating modality representations (ablation)MNPs · CIFAR10-Ctest ECE: 0.125±0.005 -> 0.011±0.001Helped
Use multimodal Bayesian aggregation rather than averaging modalities (ablation)MNPs · CIFAR10-COOD AUC (SVHN): 0.803±0.007 -> 0.872±0.002Helped
Use multimodal Bayesian aggregation rather than averaging modality representations (ablation)MNPs · HMDBtest accuracy: 57.80±1.97 -> 71.97±0.43Helped
Use class-error-based MSE context updates instead of random sampling (ablation)MNPs · CUBtest ECE: 0.069±0.029 -> 0.049±0.008Helped
Use MSE context selection rather than CE context selection (ablation)MNPs · CIFAR10-COOD AUC (CIFAR100): 0.789±0.004 -> 0.786±0.005Mixed
Select new context points using classification error rather than random sampling (ablation)MNPs · CIFAR10-Ctest ECE: 0.073±0.005 -> 0.011±0.001Helped
Use adaptive RBF attention with its supervised contrastive loss and lengthscale penalty (ablation)MNPs · all evaluated datasetstest accuracyHelped
Use Sparsemax rather than Softmax with adaptive RBF attention (ablation)MNPs · all evaluated datasetstest accuracyHelped
Increase the number of context points (ablation)MNPs · robustness and OOD datasetstest accuracyHelped
Increase the number of context points (ablation)MNPs · robustness and OOD datasetsECEMixed
Use MNPs rather than MGPmultimodal uncertainty estimation · PIEtesting speed-up: 5.37Helped
Use MNPs rather than MGPmultimodal uncertainty estimation · CIFAR10-C with SVHN OODOOD AUC: 0.803±0.007 -> 0.872±0.002Helped

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