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Probabilistic Neural Circuits

AAAI 2024 · Probabilistic and scientific modeling › Variational and generative sampling · approach: Exact inference for probabilistic programs · 1 citations (OpenAlex)

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Introduces probabilistic neural circuits (PNCs), which relax decomposability by letting sum-unit weights be neural functions of ancestor variables, interpreted as deep mixtures of Bayesian networks, and evaluates them on MNIST-family density estimation and classification.

Problem

Probabilistic circuits offer tractable inference but are less expressive than neural networks because structural constraints (smoothness, decomposability) limit function approximation.

Approach

Generalize sum units of conditional probabilistic circuits so that mixture weights are neural networks conditioned on ancestor variables, yielding PNCs that approximate deep mixtures of Bayesian networks while remaining valid and partly tractable (ordered marginals and conditionals).

Key results

Measured effects reported in the paper

What was changedWhereMeasuredEffect
Use neural sum layers with data-dependent weights instead of conditional mixing operatorsPNC versus PQC · MNIST family density estimationbits per dimension: 1.20 -> 0.87; 3.47 -> 2.51; 1.84 -> 1.36; 1.83 -> 1.33; 1.86 -> 1.35; 1.76 -> 1.27Helped
Use neural sum layers with data-dependent weights instead of standard sum unitsPNC versus PSC · MNIST family density estimationbits per dimension: 1.32 -> 0.87; 3.66 -> 2.51; 2.07 -> 1.36; 2.07 -> 1.33; 2.16 -> 1.35; 2.02 -> 1.27Helped
Use PNC rather than SHCLTMNIST family density estimation · MNIST familybits per dimension: 1.14 -> 0.87; 3.27 -> 2.51; 1.52 -> 1.36; 1.58 -> 1.33; 1.60 -> 1.35; 1.54 -> 1.27Helped
Use PNC rather than PQCDiscriminative circuit learning · MNISTaccuracy: 97.38 -> 98.04Helped
Use PNC rather than PQCDiscriminative circuit learning · FashionMNISTaccuracy: 87.63 -> 88.84Helped
Use PNC rather than LCDiscriminative circuit learning · MNISTaccuracy: 99.4 -> 98.04Hurt
Use PNC rather than RAT-SPNDiscriminative circuit learning · FashionMNISTaccuracy: 89.89 -> 88.84Hurt

Surprising findings

Limitations

Experimental setup

Datasets: MNIST FashionMNIST EMNIST

Benchmarks: MNIST FashionMNIST EMNIST

Metrics: bits per dimension classification accuracy

Baselines: PQC (CMO-SPQN) PSC SHCLT HCLT CMC RAT-SPN IDF BitSwap LC PQC

Builds on: probabilistic circuits sum-product-quotient networks conditional sum-product networks hidden Chow-Liu trees RAT-SPN

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