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Expected Frequency Matrices of Elections: Computation, Geometry, and Preference Learning

NeurIPS 2022 · Learning theory and algorithms › Matrix and tensor methods · approach: Structured low-rank learning

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Measured effects reported in the paper

What was changedWhereMeasuredEffect
Fit Mallows, φ-Walsh, and φ-Conitzer by minimizing positionwise distance to expected frequency matrices165 real-world elections · Real-world election datasetsaverage normalized positionwise distance: 0.14Helped
Use Mallows rather than the closest among Mallows, φ-Walsh, and φ-Conitzer165 real-world elections · Real-world election datasetsaverage normalized positionwise distance: 0.0007 higherHurt
Fit with φ-Walsh instead of the best of the three distributions165 real-world elections · Real-world election datasetsaverage normalized positionwise distance: 0.03 higherHurt
Fit with φ-Conitzer instead of the best of the three distributions165 real-world elections · Real-world election datasetsaverage normalized positionwise distanceHurt
Estimate Mallows dispersion by minimizing frequency-matrix distance rather than using the Kemeny-based MLEMallows parameter estimation · 165 real-world electionsPearson correlation: 0.976No clear effect
Add a reversed-central-vote Mallows mixture (ablation)Mallows fitting · 165 real-world electionsaverage minimum normalized positionwise distance: around 0.02Helped
Use the frequency-matrix fitting approach instead of maximum-likelihood estimationMallows dispersion estimation · 165 real-world electionsaverage absolute difference from Kemeny MLE dispersion: 0.02No clear effect

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