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Foresee then Evaluate: Decomposing Value Estimation with Latent Future Prediction

AAAI 2021 · Reinforcement learning › Policy gradient and actor-critic · approach: Temporal-difference and discounting theory · 2 citations (OpenAlex)

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Measured effects reported in the paper

What was changedWhereMeasuredEffect
Use VDFP in place of the conventional DDPG criticDDPG · HalfCheetah-v1, accumulated reward delays d=16, 32, 64, 128max average episode reward: 2675 -> 4823; 1546 -> 4677; 1176 -> 3667; 909 -> 2479Helped
Use VDFP in place of the conventional DDPG criticDDPG · Walker2d-v1, accumulated reward delays d=16, 32, 64, 128max average episode reward: 653 -> 1822; 583 -> 1824; 404 -> 1628; 325 -> 570Helped
Replace LSTM trajectory representation with CNN (ablation)VDFP · HalfCheetah-v1max average episode reward: 5197.03 ± 156.52 -> 5818.60 ± 336.25Helped
Replace the conditional VAE dynamics model with an MLP (ablation)VDFP · HalfCheetah-v1max average episode reward: 5818.60 ± 336.25 -> 2029.00 ± 486.11Hurt
Replace element-wise product with concatenation in conditional encoding (ablation)VDFP · HalfCheetah-v1max average episode reward: 5818.60 ± 336.25 -> 4541.71 ± 104.22Hurt
Replace the linear trajectory return with convex Leaky-ReLU, α=0.2 (ablation)VDFP · HalfCheetah-v1max average episode reward: 5818.60 ± 336.25 -> 4781.18 ± 440.50Hurt
Replace the linear trajectory return with convex Leaky-ReLU, α=0.5 (ablation)VDFP · HalfCheetah-v1max average episode reward: 5818.60 ± 336.25 -> 4985.66 ± 348.08Hurt
Replace the linear trajectory return with ICNN (ablation)VDFP · HalfCheetah-v1max average episode reward: 5818.60 ± 336.25 -> 5646.12 ± 328.61No clear effect
Replace the linear trajectory return with NE-ICNN (ablation)VDFP · HalfCheetah-v1max average episode reward: 5818.60 ± 336.25 -> 5310.23 ± 198.35No clear effect
Reduce the VAE KL weight from β=1000 to β=100 (ablation)VDFP · HalfCheetah-v1max average episode reward: 5818.60 ± 336.25 -> 4794.96 ± 370.02Hurt
Reduce the VAE KL weight from β=1000 to β=10 (ablation)VDFP · HalfCheetah-v1max average episode reward: 5818.60 ± 336.25 -> 3933.33 ± 361.82Hurt
Remove clipping from generative noise by setting c=∞ (ablation)VDFP · HalfCheetah-v1max average episode reward: 5818.60 ± 336.25 -> 4752.84 ± 328.75Hurt

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