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I Open at the Close: A Deep Reinforcement Learning Evaluation of Open Streets Initiatives

AAAI 2024 · Graph learning › Knowledge and temporal graphs · approach: Spatio-temporal graph traffic forecasting · 1 citations (OpenAlex)

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Predicts NYC vehicle collisions with a recurrent GNN, then uses a deep Q-learning agent on a simulated Manhattan road network to choose which streets to open, finding Q-learning picks outperform NYC Open Streets picks and random streets.

Problem

Choosing which streets to open to pedestrians and cyclists (open streets) to reduce traffic congestion and vehicle collisions, which existing proposal processes do not simulate or evaluate for safety and congestion effects.

Approach

Frame the choice of open streets as a reinforcement learning problem: a recurrent GNN collision predictor supplies collision risk to the reward, traffic is simulated by rerouting taxi-derived trips around opened segments, and a deep Q-network values each segment's long-term reduction in collisions and congestion.

Key results

Measured effects reported in the paper

What was changedWhereMeasuredEffect
Use Recurrent GNN instead of XGBoost for collision predictionCollision prediction models · Collision prediction test setmacro average recall: 0.74$\pm$0.0001 -> 0.76$\pm$0.0040Helped
Use the full Recurrent GNN instead of the Lite variant (ablation)Recurrent GNN · Collision prediction test setmacro average recall: 0.73$\pm$0.0043 -> 0.76$\pm$0.0040Helped
Select streets with the highest Q-values instead of streets selected by the NYC Open Streets programStreet-opening strategy · Simulated street openingscombined congestion and collision rewardHelped
Select streets with the highest Q-values instead of randomly selected streetsStreet-opening strategy · Simulated street openingscombined congestion and collision rewardHelped
Select streets through the NYC Open Streets program instead of random selectionStreet-opening strategy · Simulated street openingscombined congestion and collision rewardHurt

Surprising findings

Limitations

Experimental setup

Datasets: NYC Open Data collision reports NYC TLC taxi trips 2013-2015 NYC road-bed infrastructure data NOAA weather data NYC Open Streets program street list

Benchmarks: Manhattan collision prediction test set (1,803,363 observations)

Metrics: macro average recall F1-score reward (collision risk and traffic reduction)

Baselines: Gaussian NB LightGBM XGBoost DSTGCN Graph WaveNet NYC Open Streets program selections random street selection

Builds on: Q-learning Graph WaveNet DSTGCN XGBoost LightGBM

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