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Learning to Select Exogenous Events for Marked Temporal Point Process

NeurIPS 2021 · Learning theory and algorithms › Submodular and game algorithms · approach: Submodular influence maximization · 2 citations (OpenAlex)

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Measured effects reported in the paper

What was changedWhereMeasuredEffect
Filter selected exogenous events with TPP-Select instead of training on all events (superposition)RMTPP · Clubtime prediction MAE: 3.67±0.05 -> 3.57±0.15Helped
Filter selected exogenous events with TPP-Select instead of training on all events (superposition)RMTPP · Electiontime prediction MAE: 8.50±0.01 -> 8.50±0.02No clear effect
Filter selected exogenous events with TPP-Select instead of training on all events (superposition)RMTPP · Seriestime prediction MAE: 1.71±0.07 -> 1.15±0.05Helped
Filter selected exogenous events with TPP-Select instead of training on all events (superposition)RMTPP · Verdicttime prediction MAE: 2.27±0.00 -> 2.27±0.00No clear effect
Filter selected exogenous events with TPP-Select instead of training on all events (superposition)RMTPP · BookOrdertime prediction MAE: 0.07±0.00 -> 0.07±0.00No clear effect
Filter selected exogenous events with TPP-Select instead of training on all events (superposition)RMTPP · Clubmark prediction error: 0.59±0.05 -> 0.60±0.11No clear effect
Filter selected exogenous events with TPP-Select instead of training on all events (superposition)RMTPP · Electionmark prediction error: 0.67±0.03 -> 0.43±0.02Helped
Filter selected exogenous events with TPP-Select instead of training on all events (superposition)RMTPP · Verdictmark prediction error: 0.71±0.01 -> 0.57±0.00Helped
Filter selected exogenous events with TPP-Select instead of training on all events (superposition)RMTPP · BookOrdermark prediction error: 0.49±0.00 -> 0.45±0.00Helped
Filter selected exogenous events with TPP-Select instead of training on all events (superposition)THP · Clubtime prediction MAE: 11.93±0.08 -> 11.51±0.07Helped
Filter selected exogenous events with TPP-Select instead of training on all events (superposition)THP · Clubmark prediction error: 0.42±0.01 -> 0.36±0.01Helped
Use model-aware stochastic greedy selection (TPP-Select) instead of EMexogenous event selection · Synthetic dataselection accuracy: 0.554 -> 0.806Helped

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