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Benchmarking Deep Learning Interpretability in Time Series Predictions

NeurIPS 2020 · Time series › Causal and generative time series · approach: State-space and latent dynamics forecasting · 93 citations (OpenAlex)

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Measured effects reported in the paper

What was changedWhereMeasuredEffect
apply temporal saliency rescaling to gradient saliencyGrad on TCN · Middle BoxAUPR: 0.331 -> 0.399Helped
apply temporal saliency rescaling to gradient saliencyGrad on TCN · Moving BoxAUPR: 0.225 -> 0.335Helped
apply temporal saliency rescaling to gradient saliencyGrad on TCN · Moving BoxAUC accuracy drop: 95.35 -> 84.00Helped
apply TSR to SmoothGrad / Gradient SHAPsaliency maps · synthetic + MNIST time seriesqualitative saliency qualityNo clear effect
use standard saliency methods instead of random rankingLSTM · synthetic time series benchmarkaccuracy drop after maskingNo clear effect
treat multivariate series as image with CNN instead of TCNgradient saliency · Middle Boxqualitative saliency qualityHelped

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