Research map / Probabilistic and scientific modeling / Uncertainty and Gaussian processes
Bayesian Deep Ensembles via the Neural Tangent Kernel
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Measured effects reported in the paper
| What was changed | Where | Measured | Effect |
|---|---|---|---|
| add untrainable random function delta to each ensemble member (NTKGP) instead of standard deep ensembles/RP | MLP ensemble · MNIST vs NotMNIST error vs confidence | error at confidence 0.6: over 15% lower error | Helped |
| use NTKGP instead of standard deep ensembles | MLP ensemble · MNIST test (in-distribution) | classification error: around 0.2% increased error for ensemble size 10 | Hurt |
| use NTKGP instead of standard deep ensembles | heteroscedastic MLP ensemble · Flight Delays under dataset shift | NLL | Mixed |
| use NTKGP instead of deep ensembles/RP | heteroscedastic MLP ensemble · Flight Delays combined test | RMSE vs confidence | Helped |
| use NTKGP instead of deep ensembles/RP | Myrtle-10 CNN ensemble · CIFAR-10 vs SVHN error vs confidence | error vs confidence | No clear effect |
| use NTKGP instead of deep ensembles | Myrtle-10 CNN ensemble · CIFAR-10 test (in-distribution) | classification error | Helped |
| use NTKGP-param instead of RP-param at small ensemble size (ablation) | toy 1D regression ensemble · toy 1D regression | mean predictor approximation | Hurt |
Closest papers by meaning
- Exploring the Uncertainty Properties of Neural Networks’ Implicit Priors in the Infinite-Width Limit (ICLR 2021 · similarity 0.89)
- Disentangling the Predictive Variance of Deep Ensembles through the Neural Tangent Kernel (NeurIPS 2022 · similarity 0.89)
- Critical feature learning in deep neural networks (ICML 2024 · similarity 0.88)
- Theoretical Limitations of Ensembles in the Age of Overparameterization (ICML 2025 · similarity 0.87)
- A Study of Bayesian Neural Network Surrogates for Bayesian Optimization (ICLR 2024 · similarity 0.86)
- Continual learning with the neural tangent ensemble (NeurIPS 2024 · similarity 0.86)
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