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Bayesian Deep Ensembles via the Neural Tangent Kernel

NeurIPS 2020 · Probabilistic and scientific modeling › Uncertainty and Gaussian processes · approach: Infinite-width networks as Gaussian processes · 29 citations (OpenAlex)

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Measured effects reported in the paper

What was changedWhereMeasuredEffect
add untrainable random function delta to each ensemble member (NTKGP) instead of standard deep ensembles/RPMLP ensemble · MNIST vs NotMNIST error vs confidenceerror at confidence 0.6: over 15% lower errorHelped
use NTKGP instead of standard deep ensemblesMLP ensemble · MNIST test (in-distribution)classification error: around 0.2% increased error for ensemble size 10Hurt
use NTKGP instead of standard deep ensemblesheteroscedastic MLP ensemble · Flight Delays under dataset shiftNLLMixed
use NTKGP instead of deep ensembles/RPheteroscedastic MLP ensemble · Flight Delays combined testRMSE vs confidenceHelped
use NTKGP instead of deep ensembles/RPMyrtle-10 CNN ensemble · CIFAR-10 vs SVHN error vs confidenceerror vs confidenceNo clear effect
use NTKGP instead of deep ensemblesMyrtle-10 CNN ensemble · CIFAR-10 test (in-distribution)classification errorHelped
use NTKGP-param instead of RP-param at small ensemble size (ablation)toy 1D regression ensemble · toy 1D regressionmean predictor approximationHurt

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