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Adaptive Online Estimation of Piecewise Polynomial Trends

NeurIPS 2020 · Bandits and online learning › Online convex optimization and games · approach: Parameter-free non-stationary online learning · 3 citations (OpenAlex)

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Measured effects reported in the paper

What was changedWhereMeasuredEffect
Use Ada-VAW with wavelet-based interval detection and polynomial VAW predictionsOnline forecasting of TV^k(C_n) sequences · TV^k(C_n) online forecastingdynamic regret: \tilde{O}\left(n^{1/(2k+3)}C_n^{2/(2k+3)}\right); lower bound: \Omega\left(n^{1/(2k+3)}C_n^{2/(2k+3)}\right)Helped
Use Ada-VAW instead of ARROWSOnline forecasting of TV^k(C_n) sequences · TV^k(C_n) online forecastingdynamic regret: \tilde{O}\left(n^{1/(2k+3)}C_n^{2/(2k+3)}\right) vs. \tilde{O}\left(n^{1/3}C_n^{2/3}\right)Helped
Use Ada-VAW instead of MA/OGD/AderOnline forecasting of TV^k(C_n) sequences · TV^k(C_n) online forecastingdynamic regret: \tilde{O}\left(n^{1/(2k+3)}C_n^{2/(2k+3)}\right) vs. \tilde{O}\left(\sqrt{nC_n}\right)Helped
Apply Ada-VAW to sequences with at most J_n nonzero (k+1)th differencesAda-VAW · Exact sparsity E^{k+1}(J_n)dynamic regret: \tilde{O}\left(J_n\right); lower bound: \Omega(J_n)Helped
Apply Ada-VAW to a higher-order Sobolev sequence classAda-VAW · Higher-order Sobolev class S^{k+1}(C_n')dynamic regret: \tilde{O}\left(n^{\frac{2}{2k+3}}[C_n']^{\frac{2}{2k+3}}\right)Helped
Apply Ada-VAW to Holder-smooth sequences enclosed within a higher-order TV ballAda-VAW · Higher-order Holder class H^{k+1}(L_n')dynamic regret: \tilde{O}\left(n^{\frac{1}{2k+3}}C_n^{\frac{2}{2k+3}}\right)Helped
Use zero padding rather than the packing strategy before the wavelet transformAda-VAW · Higher-order TV^k online forecastingdynamic regretHurt

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