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Calibration tests in multi-class classification: A unifying framework

NeurIPS 2019 · Learning theory and algorithms › Prediction and decision losses · approach: Distributionally robust optimization · 25 citations (OpenAlex)

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Measured effects reported in the paper

What was changedWhereMeasuredEffect
Use asymptotic p-value approximations for kernel calibration-error estimators instead of distribution-free boundsKernel calibration tests · Synthetic M1, M2, and M3p-value approximationHelped
Use asymptotic tests, particularly the unbiased quadratic estimatorKernel calibration tests · Uncalibrated synthetic models M2 and M3test powerHelped
Use distribution-free p-value boundsKernel calibration tests · Synthetic M1, M2, and M3test powerHurt
Use consistency resampling for the standard ECE estimatorStandard ECE calibration test · Calibrated synthetic model M1empirical test errorHurt
Estimate ECE with histogram regression as the number of classes increasesHistogram-based ECE estimator · Synthetic data with increasing number of classescalibration error estimateHurt
Use kernel calibration-error estimators instead of histogram-based ECE as the number of classes increasesKernel calibration-error estimators · Synthetic data with increasing number of classescalibration error estimateHelped
Use the linear estimator of squared kernel calibration errorKernel calibration-error estimation · Synthetic M1, M2, and M3biasHelped
Use the linear estimator with 100 or 1000 classesLinear kernel calibration-error estimator · Synthetic data with 100 and 1000 classesestimator distributionMixed
Use p-value approximations based on the histogram ECE estimator as the number of classes increasesHistogram-based ECE calibration test · Synthetic data with increasing number of classesp-value approximation reliabilityHurt

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